Re: Reds trade Dustin Moseley for Ramon Ortiz
lollipop, Ortiz scores a 99 for ERA+ for his career, just a hair below league average.
Though Stormy touched upon the problem with taking that number at face value. Ortiz has crashed and burned as a starter the past two seasons. He had an 82 ERA+ in 2003 and, while I don't have his ERA+ as a starter for last season, he had a 5.47 ERA against a park-adjusted league average of 4.59 (not to mention an .875 OPS against as a starter). So he'd have probably been around an 85 ERA+ for his rotation work in 2004.
Thanks to his relief work he came out with a 104 ERA+ for the season, but, much like Jimmy Haynes in 2002 (ERA+ 107), his peripherals indicate that ERA should have been higher and that it probably will rise this season.
On a separate note, nice to see DanO acknowledge that Moseley wasn't going to be a factor until at least 2006. If he's capable of recognizing the longer timeline associated with pitching development on a consistent basis then he can take his foot off the gas pedal of the team's pitching promotion policy. That should lead to better performances across the board, leading to better trade bait in the offseason and better brand name recognition for the Reds' farm system. Sounds like he might only be a step away.
Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong
I'm witchcrafting everybody.