Originally Posted by CincyRedsFan30
Don't you think the possibility exists that Ramon Ortiz' numbers could go up somewhat due to not having to face the DH in the NL? I'm not sure how MUCH that will help him, but it's something to consider.
Also, on Weathers, I would be very pleased if he put up numbers as good as if not better than last year's numbers:
2000: 3.07 ERA
2001: 2.41 ERA
2002: 2.91 ERA
2003: 3.08 ERA
2004: 4.15 ERA
He has been a much better pitcher overall since converting to pretty much only a reliever.
I think that there's a possibility that ANYONE'S numbers can go up or down. It's the probability of improvement that I worry about (ie. low probability).
The reason I worry about Weathers is that he's 35 and thus, projects to be more performance-volatile than I'd like. That 4.15 ERA last year was a product of a HR rate that was over twice that of 2003 and 2002. And that wasn't due to playing in Houston.
Now, is is possible that Weathers goes all Todd Jones for the Reds in 2005? Sure, it's possible. But it's possible that Weathers blows up as well. Considering that a 4.15 ERA in the pen isn't such great shakes anyway- particularly if he's trying to hold games rather than relieve early, I'm left worrying about the guy.