I'm just saying that I don't see a 40% probability swing like that resting on the shoulders of just one player or position in this particular situation. If that's the case, then it's a fundamentally flawed team
I must say that this is true for the Bengals and Carson Palmer. Ironic that this also seems to describe the Pittsburgh Steelers as well? I think if we look at games in which Ben sat due to injury, the Steelers were a very different team and their record will show this too.
If the Cincinnati Bengals lose Palmer in the last game of the pre-season for the year in 2005, what do they finish? 1st place in the division? No way. Playoffs? No way.
If the Pittsburgh Steelers lose Ben in the last game of the pre-season for the year in 2005, what do they finish? 1st place in the division? No way as they didn't do it with him (in part b/c he was hurt some this year). Playoffs? No way.
Makes me wonder what the NE Patriots do if Tom Brady faces the same fate. Or Indy with Peyton. This holds true for a lot of teams IMO. Da Bears being an exception this year.