Originally Posted by registerthis
Eric Milton will never have an ERA below 5.5 for the Reds so long as he remains a fly ball pitcher in a hitter's park. He lacks the overpowering heat to blow guys away, and he doesn't keep the ball down enough to keep it in the park.
The thing that's so frustrating about this is that everyone with an inkling of a clue KNEW this before Milton was ever signed. Perhaps it couldn't have been predicted that he would suck at the level he did last year, but a 5.50 ERA was entirely predictable based on his past performances. Yet we still hand him $8 million per to pitch batting practice to the other team.
IMO, this move alone was enough to justify DanO's firing. Complete and utter idiocy is the only way to describe it.
Do you know what Milton's DIPS was in 2004? Because I think the wrong conclusion was arrived at by Dan O & co because of his "success" in 2004. I suspect he was an overperformer as indicated by DIPS which the fact that he was really a worse pitcher with Philly than he was in MN. But O'Bie saw that he was equally as good in Philly (judging by wins and era) and conluded that rather he could handle the pitcher friendly environment.