Re: Homer Bailey
Bailey had a interesting year last year. When he was healthy in May, he pitched great starting. When he got shoulder tendanitis in late May, it effected his performance in June and the first half of July. But, which is a rarity for a Reds prospect, he got over it and pitched better down stretch with 95-97mph fastballs.
Unlike other hyped pitchers, Bailey has the arm to be what we want him to be, but the mental side of it will be his challenge. The Reds pitching developement side has struggled through the years and Medlock was a good example of this last year. Medlock like Bailey needed a better changeup, if not worse than Bailey, who may eventually just need a 4 seamer/curve mix to be a successfull starter, but Medlock really needs that changeup for his 3rd pitch if he is going to make it though his fastball is underrated(solidly between 90-93mph). Medlock struggled in high A after his promotion in 2004 because he had no third pitch. Coming into 2005, I suspected Medlock would have the same amount of success he had in Dayton. But alas, Medlock struggled still, his changeup wasn't any better, and hitters unloaded on it. I find that a failure of instruction. Why? 1.5 months into the season, Medlock started whipping high A hitters, basically because his changeup got much much better. Amazing really. The kid probably had to feel out the pitch on his own. Sadly it took him way longer than it should have if his instruction would have been proper. Not every pitcher can do that.
Krivsky will have to improve pitching instruction in every level of the Reds system because it is surely lacking. If we want to get all we can from the Homer Bailey's and Calvin Medlock's, it is essential.