Re: 2006 Prediction Thread
88-74 and in contention for the Wild Card.
Here's how I think it will play out (in my wildest fantasies--or at least those not involving Elizabeth Hurley).
The Reds get off to a decent start in April as they get decent starting pitching (ERA of 4.5 for the month) and the bullpen blows only a couple of leads/saves. Womack is benched for a low OBP and lackluster defense--Freel and Aurilia basically split time at 2b after tax day.
As Memorial day winds closer, the Reds are a few games over .500. Wilson replaces Williams as the 5th Starter. Aurilia and Dunn see more time at 1b and Denforia is recalled from AAA to share time with Freel as the 4th OF when Dunn is at 1b. Dunn and JR. are both vying for the HR lead and Kearns, Ed. E and Lopez are having sold offensive years. Coffey becomes the closer and saves 90% of the leads he inherits.
Come summer, Williams and Milton (who has pitched sub 5.00 ERA) are dealt as part of a blockbuster deal (maybe 3 team) that gives the Reds another solid starting pitcher. They continue to play well until the last weekend of the season when they only need one victory to beat the Phillies out for the WC. They win on a Jr. home run, but the Phillies are in extra innings and we all have to sit on our hands until its over....
Win the Division