Re: Louisville roster per Marc's blog
Ryan Wagner does not "project to middle relief". He has done little to ruin his potential; he just hasn't had good results.
Most organizations do not put the lion's share of their prospects at AAA. Usually just the guys who are major-league ready beyond one aspect of their game (i.e. William Bergolla and plate discipline, Elizardo Ramirez/Justin Germano and bat-missing, Brian Shackleford and control, Ryan Wagner and the mental rigors of big-league pitching) or grinders who simply can't stay at lower levels but have done well enough to stick around or project as big-league bit players (Gutierrez, Bannon, Hopper, Hall). The rest are injury-contingency or Plan B veterans who can provide (Baseball Prospectus-defined) replacement-level results in the bigs at a moment's notice. Not unusual.
Now, the Reds have even less prospects at AAA than the average club because they have very few prospects above A ball, but the true indictment of the system is at the AA level (where they're likely to have the oldest team in the Southern League for the third year in a row).
Our AAA squad will do as fine a job as any at producing injury replacements or temporary fill-ins. This year it's unlikely to produce more than one or two big-league graduates. If we get two- say, Wagner and Bergolla- I'll be ecstatic. Two is what we got last year (Encarnacion and Denorfia, with maybe partial credit for Shackleford). Three in 2006 would be a dream.
Last edited by Doc. Scott; 04-05-2006 at 05:25 PM.