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Old 03-28-2006, 10:11 AM   #25
Heath
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Dayton Area
Posts: 8,471
Re: BP: Reds Transaction Analysis-Wily Mo Pena, Ross etc.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cyclone792
Runs scored = 820
Runs allowed with average pitching and average defense = ~720

Pyt. winning percentage with 820 runs scored and 720 runs allowed = .565

.565 winning percentage = 91-92 wins


Cyclone - let's take it a step further - lets keep Harang & Claussen. We need three more starters on average - who might have been FA's last year. Clement was almost a Red - so add that one. Let's not add Milton. Now we need two starters that were FA's last year. So a Derek Lowe, Jon Lieber, Kevin Millwood, Russ Ortiz, Kris Benson, plus the lower-tiered guys that I have missed could be added.

That's a pennant race.
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