Originally Posted by Johnny Footstool
5 wins is a pipe dream, sure. It assumes the Reds get lucky and beat Pythagoras, and that Arroyo pitches to the absolute pinnacle of his ability (say 210 IPs with an ERA of 3.50). I think a performace like that and the ripple effect through the bullpen could potentially result in a 5 win increase. Of course, there's only about a 1% chance of that happening...
That's 5 wins max, spread out over the course of the season. We're talking 1 win a month. And that's a big maybe.
It's not going to matter.
It would seem if that is all there was to putting together predictions, so many people wouldn't be so wrong when making preseason predictions.