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Thread: BP's PECOTA Projections Released

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    Stat Wanker Hodiernus RedsManRick's Avatar
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    BP's PECOTA Projections Released

    BP just released this year's PECOTA projections: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/ar...rticleid=19602

    According to their team depth charts, they have the Reds down for 92-70, tied for the 2nd best record in MLB with the Yankees and Tigers. The Dodgers come in #1 at 93-69.

    The Cards come in 2nd in the NL Central as just 84-78.

    I found the visual depth chart a really cool way to quickly compare teams.

    When I put their mean projections in to my projection spreadsheet, I came out with 89 wins.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...0E&usp=sharing

    Here are some fun comps that I noticed:

    Devin Mesoraco: Matt Wieters, Joe Torre & Miguel Montero
    Joey Votto: Norm Cash, Miggy Cabrera & Mark Teixeira
    Todd Frazier: Chase Headley
    Jack Hannahan: Brook Jacoby
    Jay Bruce: Frank Robinson (Jay is an old 26...)

    Mat Latos: Jered Weaver & Felix Herandnez
    Homer Bailey: Matt Garza (Cueto also got a Garza comp)
    Aroldis Chapman: Herb Score
    Sean Marshall: Ryan Madson
    Tony Cingrani: Briad Matusz & Scott Kazmir
    Manny Parra: Casey Fossum & Steve Carlton

    Anyways... enjoy!
    Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.

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