For me, that team is the New York Yankees. I see an old team here, with health issues all over the place. A thin rotation after the first two starters, and poor defense at SS, that will get worse this year if Jeter sees significant time there. I don't think they will hit enough to pass the Blue Jays or Orioles. And I think TB is better too, especially in the rotation.
I wouldn't cry seeing them miss out on the post season.