Here is how I see it...
We will have 1 guy win 20, 1 guy win about 18, and another guy win about 16.
Cueto, Latos, and Bailey will make up those three guys above. I am just not sure which guy will win which amount just yet.
Arroyo will win about 13 to 14.
Chapman will be at about the 10 to 11 mark as in my gut he just won't have the amount of starts needed to win much more as I think they try and stretch him out.
Leake will get us about 5 to 7.
This has been a 2013 projection of crazybob.