Turn Off Ads?
Page 4 of 4 FirstFirst 1234
Results 46 to 50 of 50

Thread: Can Homer win 20 games?

  1. #46
    Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
    Posts
    1,014

    Re: Can Homer win 20 games?

    Redsmanrick......great write up.

  2. Turn Off Ads?
  3. #47
    Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Posts
    356

    Re: Can Homer win 20 games?

    Quote Originally Posted by RedsManRick View Post

    With great run support, you don't need to put up a Cy Young season to win 20+ games. If a guy can make 32 starts and keep the runs allowed better than average, then he's got a chance. There have been 101 20+ win seasons in which the guy started fewer than 35 games and had an ERA+ between 100 and 120; roughly 1 per year on average.

    So can Homer win 20? Absolutely. Will he? I'd say it's quite unlikely.
    Regarding the run support, I think it's interesting that PECOTA has the Reds projected to score the most runs in the NL. Naturally that doesn't mean that Bailey himself will benefit from high run-support, and I agree with you that 20 wins is still pretty unlikely, but perhaps it isn't as improbable as it might seem based on last season's rather average offensive performance.

  4. #48
    SERP deep cover ops WebScorpion's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2000
    Location
    In the Ether
    Posts
    5,401

    Re: Can Homer win 20 games?

    I think in 1970 Jim Palmer, Dave McNally, and Mike Cuellar all won 20 games for the Orioles. I'm not sure Maddox, Glavine, and Smoltz ever did it in the same season.

    Anyway, I think the Reds have a chance to have a special rotation like that and I also believe Homer is one of the guys who could win 20.

    "Okay you guys, pair up in threes!" --Yogi Berra

  5. #49
    ZCTRMTP!!!!! texasdave's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2005
    Posts
    10,824

    Re: Can Homer win 20 games?

    Quote Originally Posted by WebScorpion View Post
    I think in 1970 Jim Palmer, Dave McNally, and Mike Cuellar all won 20 games for the Orioles. I'm not sure Maddox, Glavine, and Smoltz ever did it in the same season.

    Anyway, I think the Reds have a chance to have a special rotation like that and I also believe Homer is one of the guys who could win 20.
    In 1971, the O's had four twenty-game winners. Palmer, McNally, Cuellar and Pat Dobson.
    A summer watching a bad Reds' team, is still a pretty good summer.

  6. #50
    Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    Cincinnati
    Posts
    1,174

    Re: Can Homer win 20 games?

    A pitcher winning a game is a pretty flawed stat. There's too many variables in any given game to make it a valuable way of measuring how good a pitcher is. That being said, I think Homer will win 13-16, with an ERA of 3.60.


Turn Off Ads?

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!


RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball


Contact us: Boss | GIK | BCubb2003 | dabvu2498 | Gallen5862 | LexRedsFan | Plus Plus | RedlegJake | redsfan1995 | The Operator | Tommyjohn25