"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
Using this handy-dandy Runs Created Calculator; an additional 20 singles, 5 doubles and 1 triple would yield 17 mores run, using the Cincinnati Reds teams stats from 2012. How accurate is this RCC? Using the stats from the entire NL, it calculates that 11123 runs will be scored. The actual amount was 10929. This difference of 194 runs is about 1.7%. If you multiply 17 runs by .017 you get around 3/10ths of a run. So, 20 runs seems perfectly reasonable to me.
http://www.had2know.com/sports/runs-...alculator.html
He won't be great in center field, but he will still get the job done. I don't think it will really have too much of an impact and can see the Reds bringing in someone else in late game situations. But I can already vision it now.. Redszone blowing Choo up for missing a catch and blowing the game.
coachpipe (02-22-2013)
Joel Luckhaupt was on the radio taking about the difference between Stubbs and Choo. He said that the main difference would be going side to side instead of in and out. To me that says that Choo will be just as good as eliminating singles as Stubbs was but would have more of a problem cutting off balls that get to the gap. Stubbs was very good at tracking down a ball in the gap due to his raw speed, something Choo doesn't have. I think that Choo could be an adequate CF if he is the type of player who gets good jumps on the ball and is able to make sliding catches.
One thing to take into consideration is that if you have guys in the corner who have above average range that would help Choo out as well in CF. Especially when you have Heisey in LF and Bruce in RF, you have two guys who can cover a lot of ground, giving some help to Choo in the gaps.
One thing that I haven't really seen mentioned is what the addition of Choo will do to the prospects of Xavier Paul. Can the Reds afford to go into the season with 5 corner out fielders? Or do they make a move to keep a backup CF on the 25 man roster?
The Reds should package up Choo, Leake, and a couple decent prospects and talk to Arizona about that kid from Springfield, OH. Adam Eaton! He went to the same high school as Dave Burba. That kid can play center field and hit leadoff...he's the next Mike Trout minus a little power. Well, maybe a lot, but you don't need power to hit leadoff. Eaton is going to be what we always hoped Stubbs could turn into. There, I said it.
"This field, this game, is a part of our past. It reminds us of all that once was good, and what could be again." -- Terence Mann
I guess I should have said, "what I had hoped he could be." I always thought Stubbs could change his approach and get on base a lot more but sacrifice a lot of power. Anyway, I agree...Eaton won't be hitting 20 HRs a year, but I would love to have him roaming center field and hitting leadoff. Of course, then what would we do with Billy Hamilton next year?? I'm just glad our discussions are turning toward what to do with our extra talent. A good problem to have.
"This field, this game, is a part of our past. It reminds us of all that once was good, and what could be again." -- Terence Mann
Doug....how do you see LaMarre working out? Do you think he will end up in one of the corners? I have read some good stuff on him and talked to a few scouts who love the kid.....they say he is just missing on being consistent......what if he turns out to be a stud, what do we then do? Can he play LF in a few years when Luddy is gone?
I ask because I was listening to a podcast last year from BP and one of their guys was very high on him.....they loved his bat and loved his jump off the ball and said they could see him making a very fast climb to the big leagues.....of course that climb did not happen last year but it could this year. What do we di if that climb does happen this year. he is getting older and its time for him to either put it together or not....
"everyone" thinks he is going to suck out there because he has actually sucked in right field the last two years, hasn't played center in years, isn't uber fast and isn't exactly young anymore. Defenders tend to get worse after the age of 24 by a little bit each year. Choo is approaching 30. Guys simply don't move from the corners to center at that age, for a reason.
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