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Thread: Vegas over/under

  1. #16
    Member redsrule2500's Avatar
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    Re: Vegas over/under

    Quote Originally Posted by kaldaniels View Post
    Yeah Vegas accounts for that. Otherwise you are right, you could bet on all the unders and you would come out ahead. But they probably trim 5-10 percent or so off a full healthy season projection.
    Vegas only measures public opinion of betters, they don't actually measure the sports/players. The goal of any Vegas Casino is to have their odds directly in the middle of all the people placing bets (50% bet above, 50% bet below).

    This way they can take 100% of the "cost to play"

    Edit: I now see this was addressed above by AtomicDumpling as well.
    redsrule2500
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  3. #17
    Member Ironman92's Avatar
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    I think Cueto and Bruce over

  4. #18
    Viva la Rolen kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: Vegas over/under

    Quote Originally Posted by redsrule2500 View Post
    Vegas only measures public opinion of betters, they don't actually measure the sports/players. The goal of any Vegas Casino is to have their odds directly in the middle of all the people placing bets (50% bet above, 50% bet below).

    This way they can take 100% of the "cost to play"

    Edit: I now see this was addressed above by AtomicDumpling as well.
    It is all "baked in the cake". Pro gamblers would be all over it if Vegas didn't set the lines a touch low. Either that or Vegas can adjust the "juice" so that you win more for an over bet than an under bet.

    Point being, the threat of injuries is compensated for.

    If Vegas tries to set the line "falsey" so that Joe Schmo public bets 50/50 on it pro gamblers will pounce all over it and Vegas knows it. It's a fine line to walk.

  5. #19
    Rally Onion! Chip R's Avatar
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    Re: Vegas over/under

    161 - Number of games RedsZoners will complain about the lineup. I'll take the over.
    The Rally Onion wants 150 fans before Opening Day.

    http://www.facebook.com/pages/Rally-...24872650873160

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