Did you see the Reds winning 97 games before the 2012 season started? Every year a team or two surprise. I think this year's surprise is Milwaukee. From August 1st until the end of the year in 2012 they were 36-23. And why would the Brewers' starting pitching regress? Gallardo is 27. Fiers is 28. Estrada is 29. Peralta is 24. Lohse is older but proven. Four-fifths of that rotation is coming into its prime years. We will see. I don't see it as going all that far out onto some limb.