# Thread: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

1. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

45 for the WC, 56 for the division.

2. ## Likes:

LoganBuck (08-14-2013),Slyder (08-15-2013)

4. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

41 for the WC and 51 for the division.

5. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

40 for a playoff spot.

7. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

48 for the Division, 39 for the Wild Card ( I will note that these numbers are different than those at https://twitter.com/RedsMagicNumber but I think my math is right. Pirates have 48 losses so the most wins they can get to is 114. The Reds are at 67 wins so to get to 115 they need
get 48 wins (this can also be lowered by Pirates losses). The closest wild card foe is Arizona. They have 57 losses. the highes number of wins they can reach is 105. 106-67= 39.

Wild Card

Division

8. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

47 for the Division,

38 for the Wild Card

9. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

It's been a good week. The magic number dropped 9 for the division, and 7 for the wild card. We need a couple more weeks just like it...

10. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

I'm not sure how they come up with their numbers, but Baseball Prospectus has the Reds at a higher % of winning the WS than the Cards or Pirates.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/

Making the playoffs all the way up to 94.8%

11. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

Originally Posted by OesterPoster
I'm not sure how they come up with their numbers, but Baseball Prospectus has the Reds at a higher % of winning the WS than the Cards or Pirates.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/

Making the playoffs all the way up to 94.8%
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/gl...&category=true
In order to figure the WS Win Pct, we use the odds ratio to figure out a team's expected win percentage in various playoff rounds, and then use the binomial probability mass function to find the odds of winning a five or seven game series as appropriate.

12. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

29 for a playoff spot.

15. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

playoffs are getting closer. Can't wait until this gets to 0 and we're counting down the division.

16. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

Lose and still get 1 game closer to the post season. Thanks Phillies.

17. ## Re: Reds Magic Number 2013 Edition

I know it's been a few days, but is no one else wanting to count down? We could be inside 20 by the end of the weekend.

#### Posting Permissions

• You may not post new threads
• You may not post replies
• You may not post attachments
• You may not edit your posts
•

 Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please. Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!

RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball

Contact us: Boss | GIK | cumberlandreds | dabvu2498 | Gallen5862 | Plus Plus | RedlegJake | RedsfaninMT | redsfan1995 | The Operator