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Thread: Reds stats through 60 games, 2013

  1. #1
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    Reds stats through 60 games, 2013

    Reds went 5-5, lost a game to Cards, now trail by 2.5, Reds lead Bucs by one game. Reds 21-9 at home, 15-15 on the road. Overall record is 36 wins and 24 losses. Reds with 279 runs scored, 217 runs allowed, a +62 differential, same number as last time. Cards are +82, way up from last time. Braves are +64. Reds 11-9 in one run games, 3-5 in extra innings. Reds with second best W-L percentage in the NL, tied for third best in MLB. In this stretch, Cueto, though pitching well, was again put on DL and Villareal was brought up presumably for one start. Phillips out for several games, no DL, due back tomorrow.

    Offense - Reds team OPS now .731, declined from .735 last time. Reds now fourth in league. BA remained at .252, OBP remained at .335 (leads league), but SLG dropped from .400 to .396 (seventh in league). Reds are third in NL in runs, fifth in hits, fifth in total bases, fifth in extra base hits, fifth in homers, fourth in doubles, lead league in walks by offense, lead league in HBP by offense, last in steals (17), ninth in grounding into DPs, third in wOBA (.318 tied with DBacks), tied for 5th-6th in wRC+ at 99. Overall slight decline in offense from previous ten games.

    Reds line drive rate is 20.8% tied for 6th-7th in league with Padres. Cards lead NL with 23%. Reds tied for 4th-7th with three other clubs in ground ball rate at 46.2%. Marlins highest with 48.9%. Reds eleventh highest (fifth lowest) fly ball rate at 33%. Mets highest with 39.5%.

    Votto dropped from .353 BA last time to .323 BA. Votto OPS went from 1.024 to .953. Choo now with a .276 BA, over last thirty days his BA is .208. Over last 14 days, BAs include (20 PAs or more) D. Robinson .412, Phillips .364, Frazier .341, Paul .333, Cozart .313, Bruce .235, Hanigan .233, Votto .200, Choo .191, Mesoraco .190.

    Votto with .509 SLG, Choo .484, Phillips .481, Bruce .461, Paul, .438, Frazier .419, all above team average of .396. Below that level are Cozart, .381, Mesoraco .347, Lutz .340, Robinson .327, Heisey .293, Hannahan .286, Hanigan .272, Izturis .161. Last 14 days best SLG are Paul .593, Phillips .576, Frazier .463, Cozart .458. Worst are Choo .298, Mesoraco .238, Lutz .200, Izturis .118, some with small samples.

    Pitching -- Reds team ERA is 3.34 following a beating by Rockies last night. Fourth best in NL, just slightly worse than last time. Reds team batting average against .237 is tied with Braves for second best in NL, trailing Pirates. Reds now tied with Pirates and Cards with 9 shutouts by pitchers to lead NL. Reds OPS against is .685, fourth best in NL. Reds hurlers have thrown the sixth most pitches in the league, 8594. Pirates have thrown the most, Cubs the fewest.

    Reds FIP is 3.72, sixth best in league. XFIP is .366, second best in NL to Cards. Would appear that XFIP is better because it essentially doesn't count homers allowed, and Reds have allowed the third most homers in NL, 63. Composite SIERA pitching stat has Reds with second best staff in NL at 3.53 behind Cards at 3.41.

    Reds starters' ERA is 3.24, second best in NL, last time was 3.18. Reds relievers' ERA is 3.55, eighth best in NL but above league average .363. Last time was 3.62 so relief ERA has improved. Batting average against Reds bullpen is .223, third best in NL.

    But Reds relievers have allowed the highest home run rate per nine innings in the NL, 1.27 and the most homers at 24. Reds starters are seventh-eighth highest in most homers allowed, 39, and have the seventh lowest (ninth highest) homer rate per nine innings, 0.94. Reds relievers have the highest fly ball rate (43%) among all bullpens in MLB and the third highest HR/FB ratio among NL bullpens.

    Mike Leake now 5-2 with a .2.75 ERA over 68.2 innings pitched. Cueto with a 2.17 ERA, Latos at 2.90. Three starters below 3.00. Arroyo at 3.38, now 6-5. Bailey now 3.84. Ondrusek at 4.22 ERA, Broxton 4.44, Parra 8.38 but only 9.2 innings pitched. Home runs allowed per nine of some relievers -- Parra 3.72, Ondrusek 1.69, Hoover 1.44, Broxton 1.11, Chapman 1.04, Simon 0.87, Lecure 0.74, Marshall 0.00. Some small samples in there.

    Among starters homer rates (excluding Villareal) are Cingrani 1.91, Arroyo 1.01, Latos 0.81, Leake 0.79, Cueto 0.72, Bailey 0.48.

    Fielding -- Reds UZR rating is fourth best in the NL at 6.7 behind Dbacks, Braves and Giants. Reds with 25 errors with only three teams having fewer in NL. Votto leads Reds with 6 errors. Cozart 4, Phillips 3, Mes 3, Frazier 2, Choo 2, others 1. Reds with four passed balls, five NL teams have more. Hanigan and Mes with two each. Reds DER (defense efficiency rating) as per MLB.com is .710, fourth highest in NL.
    Last edited by Kc61; 06-06-2013 at 02:51 PM.

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  4. #2
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    Re: Reds stats through 60 games, 2013

    Suggestion to Reds -- take a close look at your bullpen fly ball and home run rates.

    Your relievers are giving up way too many long balls and you might want to focus on a couple of guys who throw grounders.

    Marshall does, he is missed badly. But even the very good relievers, Chapman, Lecure, throw a lot of fly balls (and Ks, of course).

    Cingrani also throws fly balls, so he wouldn't solve this particular problem. At the deadline, get a ground ball machine for the bullpen.
    Last edited by Kc61; 06-06-2013 at 01:14 PM.


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