"Man, the pitch looks fast, even in slow motion." Thom Brennaman on Chapman's fastball.
He is controlling the strikeouts and the walks. The home runs, not as much, but largely they are a function of him and the ballpark.
xFIP is a tool, not an end. It is worth looking at to compare to ERA and see if a guy is due to come back to Earth (in either direction), but you need to also be able to look at the numbers and figure out why there may be a big difference.
2. Please point to my "tell your stats to shut up" post. I didn't say a word about stats.
What I did say was that no matter how the selection is made -- fan vote, bunch of dudes, eeny meeny miney moe, random draw, statistical comparison, alphabetical order, seniority -- the selection will be wrong. I like him as a player and person, but he is not worthy of the NL All-Star team this year. He is not even worthy of being considered, IMO.
It has been shown that FIP, xFIP, SIERA, tERA, et al. are much better at measuring talent and predicting future ERA than ERA is. They are especially useful when looking at 1-3 season-sized samples.
Perfect? No. Better than ERA at predicting the future and estimating talent: yes.
Let's not let perfect be the enemy of good and because of that, resort to using not-so-good until perfect comes along.
"Bring on Rod Stupid!"
Edd Roush (07-05-2013)
Defense independent metrics remove things from the equation that are outside of the pitcher's influence and weights things that are intrinsic to his repeatable skill set. This is a lie nowadays?
Horrible, horrible blog post. Not that it wasn't well written. But those are not all stars, they're saber-friendly players.
2009 Attendance Record: 3-5
2010 Attendance Record: 2-9
2011 Attendance Record: 3-4
2012 Attendance Record: 3-4
2013 Attendance Record: 5-2
I am really not seeing what is causing people to rage over this article.
"Since I've been with the Reds in 1989, we've never had a farm system this loaded," Bowden said. "If we were the New York Yankees and had unlimited dollars, we could have traded for Colon, (Jeff) Weaver, Rolen, (Cliff) Floyd, (Kenny) Rogers and Finley and gotten them all -- and still held onto our top five prospects. That's an amazing statement."
It was your "like" of this post and subsequent posts dismissing the system/process/dudes.2. Please point to my "tell your stats to shut up" post. I didn't say a word about stats.
Yes, agreed.What I did say was that no matter how the selection is made -- fan vote, bunch of dudes, eeny meeny miney moe, random draw, statistical comparison, alphabetical order, seniority -- the selection will be wrong. I like him as a player and person, but he is not worthy of the NL All-Star team this year. He is not even worthy of being considered, IMO.
"Bring on Rod Stupid!"
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS
I don't know how you cannot go with Leake if you're going to take a Reds' pitcher. I realize he's not got the best peripherals, but bottom line he's by far been the Reds' most productive starter. I don't know where the Reds would be right now without him pitching every fifth day.
His ERA is more than a run better than Bailey and his WHIP is extremely comparable. Leake deserves a nod more than Bailey based on bottom line production.
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda