Reds went 5-5 now 5 games out (were 4.5 last time) but Cards now in first place having leapfrogged over Pirates. Reds trail second place Bucs by 3.5 now. Reds RS/RA +57 improved from +43 last time. Reds 30-16 at home, 20-24 on road. Cards ten games over .500 on road, Bucs five over .500 on road. Reds total record 50-40.
Reds 14-16 over last thirty games, 8-12 over last twenty. Reds 22-18 against NL Central, both Cards and Pirates are ten games over .500 against NL teams. Reds pythag W-L record now 51-39, so actual record slightly worse. In this stretch, Cueto DL'd, Ondrusek returned. Assorted non-DL injuries, including both catchers, Hanigan and Mes. Votto and Phillips to start in ASG, Chapman selected too.
Offense - Reds team OPS now .719, just slightly below last time. Team OPS has declined since fifty game mark from .735. Reds team OPS fourth best in NL. Reds team BA, .249, ninth best in NL and below league average .252. Reds team OBP of .325 is third best in league, since 50 game mark has declined from .335. Reds SLG was .400 at fifty game mark, now .394 which is league's seventh best and is league average. Reds with 388 runs total, fourth most in NL.
Reds wOBA is .313, fourth in the NL. Reds wRC+ is 95, eighth best in the NL. Reds ISO power is .145 seventh best in NL. Reds team walk rate (offense) is highest in NL, 9.1%, K rate is sixth highest in NL, an even 20%. Reds with 26 steals, second lowest in NL, Cards lowest.
Reds only position player with a BA over .271 is Joey Votto at .318. Next highest is Choo at .271, everyone else below .270. wRC+, Fangraphs composite offensive stat, with 100 nominally at league average, shows Votto 155, Choo 142, Bruce 118, Frazier 104. Everyone else below 100. Reds above .750 OPS are Votto .933, Choo .861, Bruce .815. Nobody else.
Last fourteen days, hottest batters have been Heisey at 1.366 OPS, Hannahan 1.084, Hanigan .902, Izturis .778, all over limited at bats. Of regulars, in that stretch Choo .739, Votto .736, Frazier .697, Phillips .621, Bruce .515, Paul .412, Robinson .408, Cozart .382. Over last thirty day stretch, Heisey at 1.335, Izturis at 1.000 (limited at bats), Votto .878, Bruce .854, Frazier .738, Choo .708, Cozart .603, Phillips .547, Paul .533.
Cozart, who leads RedsZone in ink this year (unofficially), with .233 BA and .623 OPS includes .261 OBP and .362 SLG. Last year had .246 BA, .687 OPS, .288 OBP, .399 SLG. Line drive rate has declined from 20% to 16.3%, GB rate is up from 41.7% to 47.1%. K Rate is lower this year, was 18.8% now 15.4%. Walk rate was low 5.2% last year, this year lower at 3.8%. In 357 PAs, Zack has 13 BBs. Mesoraco has improved in BA (.212 to .242) and OPS (.640 to .681) with steady K rate and improved BB rate (10.6%). SLG is .363. Frazier ground ball rate up from 32.9% to 45.5% with declines in line drive rate and fly ball rate.
Pitching - Last time team ERA was 3.54 with 3.37 for starters and 3.88 for relievers. Now, Reds team ERA is 3.41 with 3.36 for starters and 3.52 for relievers. So huge improvement for bullpen.
Pen now with seventh best ERA among NL pens, 71% save rate (fourth best in NL), 1.24 WHIP tied with Cards for fifth-sixth in NL. Pen BAA is .219, third best in NL behind Braves and Cards. Pen has allowed 26 homers, seventh fewest in league, pen K rate tops in NL with 9.61, pen has walked 110 second most in NL behind Marlins. Reds pen W-L record is 16-16; Pirates 19-11; Cards 7-11; Braves (Reds next opponent) 17-7 pen W-L record.
Reds team FIP is 3.67 fourth best in NL about same as last time, xFIP is 3.69 second best to Cards in NL. Reds pitching WAR is 10.1 (Fangraphs) Cards and Rockies are only teams with higher. Past 30 days, Reds team with 3.15 ERA, 3.58 FIP, 3.71 xFIP - and a 3.5 pitching WAR which is best in NL for that period and fourth best in MLB.
Bailey threw second no-hitter in this stretch v. Giants. Bailey with 2.9 WAR leads Latos at 2.8. Leake third at 1.5. Among relievers, Chapman with 2.50 ERA, 2.43 FIP, 2.52 xFIP. Lecure 2.10 ERA, 3.15 FIP, 4.00 xFIP. Simon 2.93 ERA, 3.26 FIP, 4.01 xFIP. Hoover 3.79 ERA, 3.67 FIP, 4.01 xFIP. Hoover now 2-5 W-L record.
Over past thirty days, Hoover with 0.4 WAR third among all Reds pitchers, 12.71 K rate, 3.97 BB rate, 100% LOB rate, 0.00 ERA in 11.1 innings. Also over last thirty days, Parra with 9.00 K rate, 2.25 BB rate, 0.00 ERA, 100% LOB rate. 12 innings pitched.
Fielding - Reds team UZR rating is 15.0 tied for third-fourth with Pirates. Dbacks and Giants higher. Reds UZR/150 1.9 is fifth highest in NL. Reds with 41 errors, third fewest in NL. Votto with 10 errors, Cozart 7, Phillips 6, Mesoraco 4, Frazier 4. Reds with 65 DPs made, fewest in NL. Reds have fewest "fielding errors" in league at 18, fifth fewest throwing errors at 22. One error is unaccounted for.