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Thread: Ohio State Football 2013

  1. #541
    Member traderumor's Avatar
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Quote Originally Posted by kaldaniels View Post
    I agree, I gotta imagine in overtime it's 50/50.

    I think the odds of converting for 2 are better than that.
    For the 00's, 41% 2 point conversion rate. Historically, 40-45% for the NCAA.

    http://www.backingthepack.com/2011/7...ough-the-years
    "Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"


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  3. #542
    Pre-tty, pre-tty good!! MWM's Avatar
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    How was that not a block in the back? That was as obvious as it gets.
    Grape works as a soda. Sort of as a gum. I wonder why it doesn't work as a pie. Grape pie? There's no grape pie. - Larry David

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    traderumor (11-30-2013)

  5. #543
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Quote Originally Posted by traderumor View Post
    For the 00's, 41% 2 point conversion rate. Historically, 40-45% for the NCAA.

    http://www.backingthepack.com/2011/7...ough-the-years
    Do you stand by those numbers in regards to this game? Both offenses were rolling after 50 minutes of play.

  6. #544
    Pre-tty, pre-tty good!! MWM's Avatar
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Holy crap! He was so close to the line of scrimmage.
    Grape works as a soda. Sort of as a gum. I wonder why it doesn't work as a pie. Grape pie? There's no grape pie. - Larry David

  7. #545
    Five Tool Fool jojo's Avatar
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    You're welcome!
    "This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner

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    wolfboy (11-30-2013)

  9. #546
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Greatest ending in the history of football? I'm still in shock!

  10. #547
    Pitcairn Islander Red Buckeye's Avatar
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Thank you Auburn! How ironic is it that both UM and Bama tried to win in regulation instead of settle for OT and it gave OSU, with a win over MSU, a spot in the BCS NC and it most likely knocked Bama out of it.
    There are no hunting accidents...It's called kharma.

  11. #548
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    That is now one of the historic moments in College Football

  12. #549
    Member traderumor's Avatar
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Quote Originally Posted by kaldaniels View Post
    Do you stand by those numbers in regards to this game? Both offenses were rolling after 50 minutes of play.
    Stand by what? That isn't the way evaluating odds really works. Plus, both teams stopped each other and made big plays, so it isn't like scoring was a given. There's enough data of all the years in NCAA history to say they had about a 40-45% chance of converting there. The category was 2 point conversion, so those are the odds you work with.

    Of course, Hoke was surely just in "I can win this game right here, right now" mode and wasn't thinking about the odds.
    "Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"

  13. #550
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Auburn still might pass Ohio State.

  14. #551
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Quote Originally Posted by traderumor View Post
    Stand by what? That isn't the way evaluating odds really works. Plus, both teams stopped each other and made big plays, so it isn't like scoring was a given. There's enough data of all the years in NCAA history to say they had about a 40-45% chance of converting there. The category was 2 point conversion, so those are the odds you work with.

    Of course, Hoke was surely just in "I can win this game right here, right now" mode and wasn't thinking about the odds.
    A good coach also puts weight in the current game variables into his decision making.

    If Florida State went for 2 against Idaho, would you say they only had 40-45 percent chance of converting?

    If Wyoming went for 2 against Bama, still 40-45%?

    If you say yes, we have a difference of opinion, fine. If not, please explain why.

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    *BaseClogger* (12-01-2013)

  16. #552
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Quote Originally Posted by R_Webb18 View Post
    Auburn still might pass Ohio State.
    They should, but they won't. I'd like to see a Bama/Auburn rematch for the national championship. Probably would have if the playoff system had started a year earlier.

  17. #553
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Quote Originally Posted by Red Buckeye View Post
    Thank you Auburn! How ironic is it that both UM and Bama tried to win in regulation instead of settle for OT and it gave OSU, with a win over MSU, a spot in the BCS NC and it most likely knocked Bama out of it.
    If Auburn beats Mizzou or USC, I would expect the title game to be Auburn/FSU.

  18. #554
    Pre-tty, pre-tty good!! MWM's Avatar
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    God bless Alabama's kicker.

    And the RB's toe that touched the ground fractions of a second before the clock struck 0.
    Last edited by MWM; 11-30-2013 at 08:11 PM.
    Grape works as a soda. Sort of as a gum. I wonder why it doesn't work as a pie. Grape pie? There's no grape pie. - Larry David

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    westofyou (11-30-2013)

  20. #555
    Member kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: Ohio State Football 2013

    Quote Originally Posted by Boston Red View Post
    If Auburn beats Mizzou or USC, I would expect the title game to be Auburn/FSU.
    Care to break it down how that happens?


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