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Thread: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

  1. #376
    Member 757690's Avatar
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Matt Adams can hit, and he's definitely not on HGH, because that reduces your BMI.
    "Man, the pitch looks fast, even in slow motion." Thom Brennaman on Chapman's fastball.

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  3. #377
    Member 1940757690's Avatar
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    We've got the best last-10 record in the division at 7-3 with Bucs and Cards both 6-4.

    Now we all face supposedly "easy teams" (Bucs/Cubs, Cards/Ms, Us/Crew). And, as we all know, anything can happen. We need to rake the Brewers.
    Reds & Nats, 2013 LCS. Take2 (9/13) Reds but no Nats

  4. #378
    Unsolicited Opinions traderumor's Avatar
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Quote Originally Posted by 1940757690 View Post
    Beltran K's. That's one gone bottom of the 9th.
    Freese lines out to the SS. Two away.
    Jim Henderson throwing mostly 95-97 heat with just an out left to get.
    And, Craig's replacement, Matt Adams, hits one out but it's a solo.

    Now 5-3, 2 out, bottom of the 9th. .209-hitting Tony Cruz primed to be the last out with Carpenter on deck.

    And, it's over. Cards lose! Cards lose! Win streak stops at 5.

    That puts the Bucs back in 1st tied with STL. For us, baby steps. We inch closer. We're now just 2.5 back.

    Whatever happens over the next two weeks, it's going to be a wild ride.
    I smell 3 way tie. It has to be at this point.
    Can't win with 'em

    Can't win without 'em

  5. #379
    Waitin til next year bucksfan2's Avatar
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Quote Originally Posted by Kc61 View Post
    This thing could get a little strange.

    The Cards and Nats play in St. Louis next to last series of the year. If Cards lose some ground, Nats gain some ground, that could be an unexpectedly interesting series.

    But however you look at it, Reds need to have a good road trip, wrap up the wild card, play at the end for home field or the division.

    The Nats have Philly and Atlanta coming up. Philly's season is over but they could win a game or two. The interesting thing will be Atlanta. How close will they be to clinching?

    It shouldn't be an issue with so few games remaining. But if all of a sudden you lose 3 in a row and Washington wins 3 in a row that margin for error gets quite a bit smaller and the pressure is amped up.

  6. #380
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    The Nationals thing isn't going to happen. Spend energy fretting about something else.
    "We know we're better than this, but we can't prove it." - Tony Gwynn

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  8. #381
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Sleeping Walt is letting the Nationals take the second wild card spot. Typical Sleeping Walt.
    Cincinnati Reds 2014 W-L Record: 76.6-85.4*

    Cincinnati Reds 2015 W-L Record: TBA

    *UPDATED: 2/11/2014

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  10. #382
    Unsolicited Opinions traderumor's Avatar
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Quote Originally Posted by Larry Schuler View Post
    Sleeping Walt is letting the Nationals take the second wild card spot. Typical Sleeping Walt.
    This added a lot to the discussion. Is there a Whiffey in the house?
    Can't win with 'em

    Can't win without 'em

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  12. #383
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Quote Originally Posted by Larry Schuler View Post
    Sleeping Walt is letting the Nationals take the second wild card spot. Typical Sleeping Walt.
    Sorry, not going to happen. Nats will lose 2 of 3 to Atlanta, 2 of 3 to the Cards, and at least 1 of 3 at the Dbacks. That would put them at 89 wins. Reds will get past that number. HIGHLY unlikely the Nats will do better than that. But the bonus is, if they sweep the Cards, it significantly helps the Reds.

  13. #384
    Hygiene Beyond Reproach ThatPitchIsDunn's Avatar
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Quote Originally Posted by traderumor View Post
    I smell 3 way tie. It has to be at this point.
    I just tried to read the tiebreaker scenarios and my eyes crossed. Let me see if I have this right (please please please correct me if not):

    Three-way tie means a 2 game elimination scenario. To avoid confusion, we'll actually assign teams to situations. Cards have best record against the other two, then the Reds, then the Pirates.

    So the Cards have the first choice on which game they want. They could choose to be the home team in Game 1, the road team in Game 1, or the road team in Game 2. The home team for Game 2 is determined by the Game 1 winner. Most likely scenario: Cards are home for Game 1.

    Reds are up next. With home team for Game 1 off the board, they have the option of going to St. Louis for Game 1, or going to St. Louis/Pittsburgh in Game 2. If they were to win in St. Louis in Game 1, they would host Game 2. Tough call, but I'd think they'd want to save the pitching and pick being the road team for Game 2.

    That leaves Pittsburgh as the road team for Game 1, and the winner of that game hosts Game 2 against Cincy.

    Anybody know - does this sound right?
    No one expects the butterfly

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    Ironman92 (09-13-2013)

  15. #385
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    http://baseballmusings.com/?p=96862

    The best case scenario for a three-way tie in the NL Central remains at 96 wins

    Reds 13-2
    Pirates 11-5
    Cardinals 11-5

    This scenario assumes the Reds go 4-2 against the Pirates.

    The probability for this tie is much better, .011, or about 1 in 87.

  16. #386
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Quote Originally Posted by Larry Schuler View Post
    Sleeping Walt is letting the Nationals take the second wild card spot. Typical Sleeping Walt.
    Walter Jocketty aka Snoozenberg.

    "I am the one who naps"

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    RichRed (09-13-2013)

  18. #387
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Quote Originally Posted by traderumor View Post
    This added a lot to the discussion. Is there a Whiffey in the house?
    Larry's M.O.: well concealed sarcasm. He's actually hilarious.
    "We know we're better than this, but we can't prove it." - Tony Gwynn

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  20. #388
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Quote Originally Posted by ThatPitchIsDunn View Post
    I just tried to read the tiebreaker scenarios and my eyes crossed. Let me see if I have this right (please please please correct me if not):

    Three-way tie means a 2 game elimination scenario. To avoid confusion, we'll actually assign teams to situations. Cards have best record against the other two, then the Reds, then the Pirates.

    So the Cards have the first choice on which game they want. They could choose to be the home team in Game 1, the road team in Game 1, or the road team in Game 2. The home team for Game 2 is determined by the Game 1 winner. Most likely scenario: Cards are home for Game 1.

    Reds are up next. With home team for Game 1 off the board, they have the option of going to St. Louis for Game 1, or going to St. Louis/Pittsburgh in Game 2. If they were to win in St. Louis in Game 1, they would host Game 2. Tough call, but I'd think they'd want to save the pitching and pick being the road team for Game 2.

    That leaves Pittsburgh as the road team for Game 1, and the winner of that game hosts Game 2 against Cincy.

    Anybody know - does this sound right?
    You have just made my brain explode. I hope you're happy.
    The Rally Onion wants 150 fans before Opening Day.

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    ThatPitchIsDunn (09-13-2013)

  22. #389
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Cano just had a double bunt with the IF shift on....why more MLB can't do this is beyond me.

  23. #390
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    Re: Scoreboard Watching 2013 (Part 3)

    Quote Originally Posted by DocRed View Post
    Cano just had a double bunt with the IF shift on....why more MLB can't do this is beyond me.
    Do what?


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