junkhead - your analysis simply does not hold up under scrutiny. Drew Stubbs last season is a perfect example. As frustrating as he was he scored a ton of runs with a low obp because his speed and running skill made him a high percentage scorer when he did get on base. Speedy runners routinely score more as often as hitters with higher obp averages - there is a break even point there somewhere but I don't know what it is or even if it has been studied but I believe it exists. I'm not saying speed is more important than OBP or that I'd swap high OBP for speed but I do believe a lower OBP than normally would be considered acceptable would work with Billy in his first couple season as he learns and adjusts at the plate. His speed is such that he can compensate with higher than normal scoring percentages when he does get on. Dismissing speed for a leadoff hitter is misleading, especially in a new era where pitching is the dominating aspect. Your claim was likely true in the hitting dominated era of the 90s and aughts. The game changes, though, as tides roll in and out.