Exceptionally poorly written article, though his ideas are fine.
He needs to understand the qualifying offer system before he writes about it.
If Arroyo is offered and rejects a qualifying offer, the Reds do not get the draft pick (whether 1st or 2nd round) that the team that signs Arroyo loses. They'll get a pick at the end of the first round regardless of what pick is lost.
Sure, and the Reds did the same by sticking Choo in center field. The point is, you can get away with that when you're talking about All Star-type hitters. Regular guys, not so much.St. Louis and Detroit have questionable defensive players playing everyday for their offense.
A decade ago, Moneyball said to add offense and don't worry as much about defense. But in the last 5-6 years, the A's, Pirates and Rays all made their jumps to playoff contenders more or less in tandem with major improvements in team defense. In the end, runs are runs, however you score them or prevent them.
Not all who wander are lost
I suspect Chapman starting will be a bust. That ship has likely sailed.
"I donít know the key to success, but the key to failure is trying to please everybody".
If I were shopping for a younger outfielder, I'd look no further than George Springer:
Choo got it, dude.
Thereís a second change to keep in mind as the trade deadline approaches, MLBTR has confirmed. Teams that keep their players now obtain one compensatory draft pick for losing a top free agent, whereas they previously obtained two selections. If a team loses a player who turned down a qualifying offer to sign elsewhere, the player's original team will obtain a single compensatory selection between the first and second rounds of the draft (the qualifying offers, which are based on the average salary of baseballís 125 best-paid players, are expected to be worth $12.5MM or so).
Meanwhile, the team that signs the free agent will lose a first round selection (though the top ten picks are protected). However, that lost first round pick no longer goes to the playerís former team. Instead, the pick disappears and the first round becomes condensed.
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS
No one has mentioned a catcher? Can we give up a little defense to get a catcher that bats .250-260 with 15 hrs and 65 rbi's? 8th and 9th in our batting order with Hannigan batting had a combined batting avg of about .135 Hannigan finished below .200... that's a horrible season with the number of AB's he had. We gave up defense in center this past year for offense..how did that work?
Not this year...maybe a Wild Card
It's a well done article although I don't agree with a number of his suggestions.
As a general matter I'd like to see the Reds keep as much top pitching as possible, it's key.
The Reds can upgrade the offense without adding stars. Some of the positions hit so poorly that average or slightly above average guys would be a boost.
The single biggest player issue is Choo and what happens if he leaves. The Reds will lose some OPS in center field and will have to figure out how to keep that loss to a minimum. Tough to do.