Hoping to change my username to 75769024
I don't think much of any argument grounded in a teams performance against very good competition in a small sample of games.
But one who does should takes note of the way in which the Reds lost their playoff series compared the A's. The A's have been extremely close and come up just short each time, think Giambi not sliding or Terrance Long losing it in the lights (in a game played at dusk for TV reasons) in Games 5. Meanwhile, the Reds got no-hit and embarrassed by Philly, completely fell apart at home for 3 games against SF and then sleepwalked into and out of the playoffs this year.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
I still, for the life of me, don't get the argument that the Reds "choked" last year. I think it's a stubborn belief that the Giants just aren't a good franchise that colors that opinion (hint: it's because they're deemed a dip-cup old boy franchise). The Reds took the eventual World Champions, who spanked the crap out of the loaded Tigers (and after we begin to see the shape of this current phase of the Cardinals dynasty we'll better appreciate in hindsight what a remorselessly good team the Giants knocked off in the St. Louis Cardinals), to the limit. Yeah, Latos choked on his neck-tats, but really, they played a great series against a great team with a deadly bullpen clicking on all cylinders.
I similarly don't understand why Beane is above reproach for his playoff failures. Tampa has been more successful with a similar payroll. I know, I know, it's all a crapshoot.
757690 (10-13-2013),REDREAD (10-14-2013),Revering4Blue (10-14-2013)
Neck tats?
“Every level he goes to, he is going to compete. They will know who he is at every level he goes to.” -- ED on EDLC
A few observations about the A's off the top of my head:
1. As baseball adjusted to the original tenets of Moneyball and it turned out stars weren't quite as easy to replace as Michael Lewis wrote, Oakland went through a five-year period that was mostly defined by churn. It's to Beane's credit that he's been able to come up with another excellent team using a different formula than the first.
2. It's also a testament to his stature that he's still there. Most GMs wouldn't survive a five-year stretch of at or under .500. But the A's owners have not only given him a succession of long-term contracts, they gave him a piece of the team.
3. From an outsider's perspective, besides the obvious value that's derived from having a preponderance of young talent, the A's season also pointed out the value of simply not having any black holes in the lineup. Pitch, play good team defense, don't have any automatic outs from one through nine, and you can win a lot of games.
Reading comprehension is not just an ability, it's a choice
One think that really intrigues me is how GMs have pretty much skated through the PED storm. Beane's early success, at least, was built with a lot of help in that space.
REDREAD (10-14-2013)
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
jimbo (10-13-2013)
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
I think Beane's A's clearly benefited more than the average team from PED use ten or so years ago. However, since testing has gotten stronger, his teams are still winning, so his success probably wasn't only due to PED use.
Hoping to change my username to 75769024
Tom Servo (10-13-2013)
Great post. Beane deserves a lot of credit, but it is kinda funny how people quickly forget that they spent 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, and 2011 going nowhere. Given his restraints, it's still impressive, but not as impressive as what Andrew Freidman and the Rays have done since 2008. In a way it's fitting that Beane owns part of the Athletics and is allowed the room to rebuild the team every few years because it's kind of a less extreme version of what Connie Mack had to do with the team in Philadelphia all of those years ago.
“I don’t care,” Votto said of passing his friend and former teammate. “He’s in the past. Bye-bye, Jay.”
Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please. |