The Reds, having only gotten a 70% return on their money under a Baker, and being by far the most talented (and underachieving) team in the NL, will run away with the Central under Price. 100 wins.
"Don't trust any statistics you did not fake yourself."--Winston Churchill
Think the Central will be tough. Cubs and Brewers will be the cellar dwellers but they'll be better than last year. I think the Pirates will slip a bit but not a lot. The Cards will have a worse record than last year (that RISP was ridiculous and won't happen again and pitching and improvements on D won't overcome the difference) but they'll be the frontrunner.
If nothing further is done that makes major changes to any of them...
"If this was a court of law, the cross examination would go after the credibility of the witness." Homer Bailey on Latos snarking on the team after his trade
Based on advanced statistical analysis far too complicated to explain in a single post:
"Man, the pitch looks fast, even in slow motion." Thom Brennaman on Chapman's fastball.
Red Raindog (12-28-2013)
Cubs 74-88 (I think they sign Tanaka, FWIW)
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
As for defensively, you're right they did improve. But I'm far from sold on their starting IF and their corner OF'ers. IMO they've gone from horrible to average...maybe. Peralta's glove is pretty meh. Carpenter and Adams are pretty forgetable too at 3rd & 1st. Holiday is pretty average in left. Craig in right, I have no clue how he'll do out there (anybody know?). I'm sorry, that's simply not a good defensive club. If they can be an average defensive club it'll be a good season from them...but I doubt they can. Up the middle, considerable improvement with Ellis and Bourjos and of course Molina.
Last edited by _Sir_Charles_; 12-28-2013 at 03:01 PM.
94 and winning the division and the NLCS but falling in the WS to Toronto in 6
94 Reds / 86 Cards / 85 Pirates / 76 Cubs / 72 Brewers