"This isnít stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
A lot of actual football people are starting to say that Manziel's play will translate. Here in Jax there's a big section of the fanbase clamoring for him, and called him Johnny Jaguar.
I'd be very surprised on May 8th if one of 4 people, are not holding up a Jags jersey: Clowney, Bridgewater, Manziel or Bortles.
I haven't seen Metteneberger listed as a late round flyer yet here but many places do.
The lowest acceptable payroll amount for ownership to show they are not greedy pigs is 15 million more than they are currently paying. No matter what that currently is.
At the same time, it can be overblown. The way I look at it is, there's a certain baseline of arm strength a QB needs or else he just can't play in the NFL. The windows are pretty small and he has to be able to get the ball there in time. But once that baseline is met, other things become more important to success: accuracy, quick release, the ability to throw accurately from weird arm slots and off the back foot because teams WILL get pressure.
And above all, it's the stuff that happens above the neck -- call it vision, anticipation or what have you, but it's just the ability to understand what's happening in front of you and get the right answer in real time. Coaching helps but some guys have it and some don't.
To me, Manziel is way above average on all the other stuff I mentioned. So it's a matter of whether his arm is good enough. I think it'll be average at best, but acceptable, especially in certain systems. Could be wrong.
For those who believe, no proof is necessary. For those who don't believe, no proof is possible
Manziel improved his arm strength from his freshman year. Check out the article above. Manziel actually throws more deep passes than the other top college QBs in the this year's draft class, and he's more accurate. Even when you only account for passes when he stayed in the pocket, his downfield accuracy is awesome. And he's also facing significantly better defenses than Bortles, Bridgewater, or Carr.
Manziel is a very good QB without his running ability. Incredibly accurate, and enough arm strength to make it in the pros. Watch this throw. 50 yard in the air and he didn't even step into it. (I don't know how to embed videos, so if anybody knows how, I would appreciate if you could let me know. Thanks).
People talk about his off-field "issues", but they are only issues if they affect the team. His teammates and coaches love him.