If you can promise me he's going to stay healthy, he's worth it (best ERA in first 1,000 innings of his career for any starting pitcher since the deadball era) but you can't promise me he won't get hurt, so he's not worth the risk.
". . . acquiring J. Blanton from Oakland for, apparently, Bailey/Cueto, Votto and a lesser prospect. I do it in a second . . . The Reds' equation this year is simple: Make Matt Belisle your #3 starter . . . trade for Blanton, win 85 or more, be in the mix all summer." - Paul Daugherty, Feb. 8, 2008
I wonder if both the Dodgers and Kershaw have the opportunity to opt out....
Even if the Dodger can't... I still can't complain that this is an awful contract given the market that they can leverage.
A more realistic future is:
The biggest question is whether the farm can produce a bench and a bullpen on the cheap, because those $2-5M/year role-player contracts add up.
Last edited by kpresidente; 01-16-2014 at 07:15 AM.
All I will say is that is a lot of money to pay someone that will only play in about 35 games a year. You just wonder how much higher these salaries can go?
Reds Fan Since 1971
LA is paying a premium for that extra bump of production that any superstar provides, but it's not like every pitcher will get even close to this money. A guy like Bailey is no. where. near. Kershaw's level. Nowhere. There is extra money floating around, and LA is the dumbest with it, for sure, but I'm not pessimistic the Reds will land Latos or Bailey. I'm sure it will happen.
I think Latos and Bailey both get 16+ per year, no doubt, and one will get it from the Reds. Latos is more likely to get 20+ than Bailey as he's had a way better career so far. As will most deals, the most important years will be 1, 2 and 3 (2015, 2016, 2017, 2018) then I wouldn't expect much from either pitcher because both have thrown a ton of innings. So has Kershaw. We'll see.
That is a whole lot of money. Wow.
"I tried to play golf, but I found out I wasn't very good." -Joey Votto on his offseason hobby search
An MLB.com reporter asked what one thing Votto couldn’t do. “I can’t skate or play hockey,” Votto said. “Well, I can skate ... but I can’t stop.”
I think if any pitcher is worth that much money Kershaw is.
Homer's 2013 wasn't half of what Kershaw did.. it was more like 90%.
And if he improves in 2014, he's going to be very, very wealthy.
Raisel Ghul, the Demon's Head
Just noticed Kershaw's #1 and 5 comps are Gary Nolan and Jim Maloney.
Old school 1983 (01-16-2014)