ďIn the same way that a baseball season never really begins, it never really ends either.Ē - Lonnie Wheeler, "Bleachers, A Summer in Wrigley Field"
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I expect Phillips to hit better. I've watched this player for so long. He tries to be a hero. He plays hurt. He did last year and it sapped him of power. Unless it is a chronic injury, I expect improvement.
I expect Ludwick to surprise everyone and do better. He's a pretty sound hitter particularly in a GABP environment. Last year's numbers, after that injury, should be thrown out the window. He's had time to recover.
But on Mesoraco, Frazier and Cozart, I think it's speculative to expect the turnaround so many are projecting. We've discussed their hitting tendencies (e.g., all the grounders Todd hit last season) and I don't think these guys will improve unless they make adjustments.
I think Mes had plenty of opportunity last season. He wasn't rotting on the bench. I think the pitchers figured out how to get Todd to top the ball.
As for Cozart, he'll never get anywhere unless he walks more. He's not the type of hitter to succeed without the walks.
These three could easily improve with a new hitting coach, but only if they adjust their hitting tendencies.
Last edited by Kc61; 02-06-2014 at 01:45 PM.
As for what Phillips' OPS will be in 2014. Better than 2013 is a safe bet. Maybe it will be .725, maybe it will be .750. It all rests on his batting average.
Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong
I'm witchcrafting everybody.
Old school 1983 (02-06-2014)
Bronson Arroyo has been a back end arm in front of a great defense in an overall run environment that has been trending stingy.
He's getting to pitch (assuming someone signs him) this season in no small part because Walt decided to fashion a Reds team that can catch.
"This isnít stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
I do, however lean towards trading him.
You've made a good case for keeping him, especially with no real replacement in house, but a trade would head off a potential powder keg type situation in the clubhouse, and it would obviously free up dollars to sign Bailey. Throw in the possibility of landing Gardner and I was all in. Too bad the Yanks weren't biting.