As best as I can tell, the Reds have 16 guys for 10 rotation spots in AA and AAA. Looking at the guys, I'm guessing Schmidt and Dennhardt will be in a bullpen somewhere. Holmberg, Corcino and Rogers would seem to be locks at AAA and Stephenson and Moscot locks at AA. I'm not sure whether Francis and Wang will stick around if they don't make the big league team and I'm unsure whether Contreras will continue starting. Tim Crabbe looks like a guy who may step forward in the bullpen, but I'm not sure if that's the plan. Mikey O'Brien is interesting. He had decent numbers at AA and he was only 23 last year, but the Yankees let him go. I think he could be a find. Josh Smith and Daniel Renken have been solid starters, but the Reds leaving them off the 40 man (and no team taking a rule 5 shot) speaks volumes. Shane Dyer and Ryan Dennick would seem to be decent choices to get another look. Not sure how it sorts out really. Anybody with any knowledge want to weigh in? (These are minor league numbers only, BTW).

Code:
Name	         Age	ERA	G	GS	IP	TBF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	IBB	HBP	WP	SO	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	K%	BB%	BABIP
R. Stephenson	20	2.99	22	22	114.1	465	92	49	38	10	35	0	3	12	136	10.71	2.76	3.89	0.79	29.30%	7.50%	0.292
Jon Moscot	21	4.3	28	28	146.2	629	143	78	70	20	48	3	9	11	140	8.59	2.95	2.92	1.23	22.30%	7.60%	0.299
David Holmberg	21	2.75	26	26	157.1	651	138	59	48	12	50	2	7	3	116	6.64	2.86	2.32	0.69	17.80%	7.70%	0.27
C. Contreras	22	3.47	26	26	132.1	560	106	56	51	11	62	3	8	9	122	8.3	4.22	1.97	0.75	21.80%	11.10%	0.266
Daniel Corcino	22	5.86	28	23	129	594	141	95	84	17	73	0	11	7	90	6.28	5.09	1.23	1.19	15.20%	12.30%	0.308
Chad Rogers	23	2.99	34	25	153.2	623	123	60	51	15	49	2	5	4	115	6.74	2.87	2.35	0.88	18.50%	7.90%	0.246
Michael O'Brien	23	4.17	27	25	133.2	589	140	71	62	10	52	1	10	8	124	8.35	3.5	2.38	0.67	21.10%	8.80%	0.331
M. Dennhardt	23	4.92	27	13	82.1	368	99	54	45	9	24	1	4	5	70	7.65	2.62	2.92	0.98	19.00%	6.50%	0.345
Daniel Renken	23	3.99	27	24	142	605	129	70	63	13	60	0	5	3	117	7.42	3.8	1.95	0.82	19.30%	9.90%	0.283
Tim Crabbe	25	3.06	27	26	153	634	151	63	52	12	43	1	4	6	109	6.41	2.53	2.53	0.71	17.20%	6.80%	0.298
Josh Smith	25	3.26	28	28	160	674	148	65	58	16	50	2	7	5	139	7.82	2.81	2.78	0.9	20.60%	7.40%	0.286
Shane Dyer	25	3.45	18	18	107	456	108	55	41	10	20	0	16	5	84	7.07	1.68	4.2	0.84	18.40%	4.40%	0.301
Ryan Dennick	26	3.82	27	21	122.2	514	122	57	52	10	35	0	1	3	78	5.72	2.57	2.23	0.73	15.20%	6.80%	0.287
Nick Schmidt	27	4.71	37	8	91.2	410	107	52	48	10	38	0	1	9	72	7.07	3.73	1.89	0.98	17.60%	9.30%	0.336
Jeff Francis	32	4.34	11	6	37.1	167	42	24	18	1	9	0	2	1	33	7.96	2.17	3.67	0.24	19.80%	5.40%	0.336
Chien-Ming Wang	33	2.87	18	17	109.2	448	103	39	35	5	22	0	2	5	55	4.51	1.81	2.5	0.41	12.30%	4.90%	0.269