Steven, nothing is higher than an architect.
Very interesting article. They sound pretty bullish on his projections.
I am looking forward to seeing how often he can get on base.
"That ball is FAIR! Cincinnati's ahead 2 games to none!" - the last World Series game played in Cincinnati
"When I began playing the game, baseball was about as gentlemanly as a kick in the crotch." - Ty Cobb
Mike Honcho (02-26-2014)
I don't understand why some believe it to be a foregone conclusion that because he struggled last year in AAA, he can't possibly improve. It's not like every player to come up through the ranks has been limited to their Minor League performance.
But him hitting .250 and anyone else hitting .250 are two completely different things. Once he gets on base, He changes everything.
Would it have been better had I said "I'm going out on a limb and predicting that Billy Hamilton will hit better than .260"? If so, then fine, I will predict that, though I'm about as sure that he will as you are that he won't. We will only know once they play.
With that said, yes, I agree that Billy's .250 is better than most anyone else's .250. I just think he can do better than that.
I think people are seriously underestimating Hamilton. Look at his track record over his minor league career. The kid learns and he learns fast. At each level, he starts out slow then comes on like a train. I think we have been brainwashed due to past experiences (Stubbs, Dunn, etc), into thinking that if they cannot hit they will never be able to hit. Hamilton seems to be the one guy who improves at each struggle or mistake. I expect great things from him come July and August. .230 by the All Star break. Average hits .260 by years end.
Last edited by bullseye; 02-25-2014 at 08:09 PM.
No - I am not from State Farm!
No. We just havent seen anything from him that would support that. How many times does a players average decrease from AA to AAA and then increase when he reaches the majors?
Im just trying to find or use an educated guess to see where people might see him and I think he will do better than he did in the minors doesnt make me confident. Now If someone would have said, a problem in the past he had was X and since working on X you can see the difference in his swing.
Last edited by CoachBombay; 02-26-2014 at 09:52 AM.
It was a bit more drastic in Coleman's case, but as you can see they both declined between AA and AAA, only to have better overall years in their rookie seasons in the bigs.
Look, I agree that nobody should be entirely confident that Hamilton will play better in his first full year at the Majors than he did at AAA. But to say that it hasn't or can't happen is being a bit drastic. He's hit at every level but AAA where he was both adjusting to learning a new position and still adapting to switch-hitting. With some marked improvement and maybe a little bit of luck, it's not at all crazy to say that he can/will hit .260 or better.