Converted one of it's few strong positions (CF) to a huge question mark that doesn't appear to be ready.
Relying on a comeback from a 36 y/o LF to solidify the middle of the order.
The All Star 2B is on a 3 year decline and is now looking at his prime age seasons in the rear-view mirror. They've simply gone backwards from last season's team....
... and last season's team barely made the play-offs by qualifying in the last spot that didn't even exist prior to last season and then went out with a whimper. Other teams that missed the play-offs have improved (Washington, AZ, SF to name three). The Reds best hope is that Pittsburgh seems to have fallen even further than the Reds have (but the Pirates have more hope from a boost from their system as the season progresses) and Atlanta has gone pretty far backwards IMO.
It's not hopeless, but a lot would need to go right in Cincy coupled with some things going wrong elsewhere. That could happen too. It's time to root for it all to work out.