The 2012 team started 4-8 and went on to win 97 games. Last year's team started 5-7 and won 90 games. The 2011 team started out 8-3 and only won 79 games.
I'm not one who is prone to put much stock in stats or statistical analysis but these results seem to scream an answer. The Reds need to start out at least worse than 4-8 if they hope to have any chance of winning the world series.
I get that the victory a couple of nights ago was concerning but they are still tracking with their current record. People need to relax a little.