Agree. Don't see a need to force the issue at that point. Let the inning develop a bit.Originally Posted by '69 & Vine
Agree. Don't see a need to force the issue at that point. Let the inning develop a bit.
Bout time we stopped treating Vogelsong like Cy Young.
Is it frequent enough though? He has only been successful 77% of the time this year. That's pretty crappy.
Always...or just in that situation?
It's annoying that Hamilton was caught stealing, but it's not a bad play. If you're going to try and get a man to third, you might as well do it with no outs. That way, two guys can get the run home with an out.
Price knows he doesn't have a great offense, he's being aggressive. No problem with it most of the time.
The Reds are starting to hit some home runs which is great news.
I'm soooooooo sick of Thom's insistence on Jim Day doing his "guy" impression. Let. It. Go.
For the record, chance that a run will score based on Tango's run matrix:
63.7% chance w/ runner @2B and no outs
17.2% chance w/ no one on and one out
85.3% chance w/ runner @3B and no outs
Say there's an 80 percent chance of a successful steal attempt:
.853*.80 = 68.2% chance of scoring a run (better than the previous 63.7% chance)
If you believe he'd be successful 85% of the time, then the odds increase to 72.5%
So if you play the percentages, the Reds increased their chance of scoring slightly with the attempt
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda
Cursh14 (06-04-2014)
Cingrani being pretty pitch efficient tonight, at least for him.
Cingrani just can't seem to get that breaking ball over.......he can't survive on 1 pitch.
Or can he?
Last edited by 50YrRedsFan; 06-04-2014 at 08:26 PM.
The beauty of Hamilton on the bases is that you don't know when he's going to go and in what situation. He's fearless on the basepaths. That will get tempered with more experience, but for now, you take the good with the bad...odds are the good will outweigh the bad. The worst thing you can do is put a leash on him. Let him loose.
Crappy? That's above average. The break-even mark is about 66%.
Furthermore, his career percentage at the MLB level is 83.3%.
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda
toledodan (06-04-2014)
Alot of the caught stealings were very early in the season. It's been awhile since he's been caught. I honestly think once he gets better with his understanding of his leads it will be scary. Also the pitcher needs to be worried that Billy will steal in any situation.
there's nothing like bowling a 300 game! 13 now and retired.
Ricky henderson has a higher OBP than C. patterson and he's retired. C. Trent 6-14-2008
Brutus (06-04-2014)
Ludwick makes some decent plays in LF due to his sheer size. He stretches out his body frequently to catch high drives, and to reach down for sinking drives. Not a top notch defensive player, but his height helps him.
They just put the top 5 in stolen bases up on mlb tonight, he was the only player under 82%, Gordon is at like 96%.
66% is mlb average. Do you expect the fastest baseball player in history to be slightly above average? I don't, I expect him to be the best or one of the best.
I love what Bham brings to the table, but he needs to get that % way up.
Crappy? Hamilton will have more steals by the All Star break than the entire Reds team all of last year.
Posting Permissions
|
Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please. |
