Turn Off Ads?
Page 13 of 14 FirstFirst ... 391011121314 LastLast
Results 181 to 195 of 198

Thread: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

  1. #181
    Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Posts
    60

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Quote Originally Posted by kbrake View Post
    I agree if someone I think scores on a single is running. I think it takes two hits. FanGraphs said the bunt lowered Reds chance to win by 2.4%. Redszone acting like it lowered chance to win by 83%.
    from what to what please?

  2. Turn Off Ads?
  3. #182
    Retro-Gamer Krawhitham's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Posts
    1,733

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Where is Larkin?

  4. #183
    Member 757690's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Dayton
    Posts
    11,224

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Quote Originally Posted by kbrake View Post
    I agree if someone I think scores on a single is running. I think it takes two hits. FanGraphs said the bunt lowered Reds chance to win by 2.4%. Redszone acting like it lowered chance to win by 83%.
    I'm not a big fan of those runs expectancy charts, but I agree we tend to over-react to a managers decisions. Usually, they are very close to 50-50 propositions. That said, I hate the bunt there
    "Man, the pitch looks fast, even in slow motion." Thom Brennaman on Chapman's fastball.

  5. #184
    Be the ball Roy Tucker's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Location
    Mason, OH
    Posts
    12,356

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Nice tribute to Bernie Stowe.

    Pay attention to the open sky

  6. Likes:

    kbrake (08-08-2014), Larkin Fan (08-08-2014)

  7. #185
    Member kbrake's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Posts
    2,354

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Quote Originally Posted by RedWilly View Post
    from what to what please?
    I honestly don't know saw someone on Twitter ripping the bunt saying that it lowered their chance to win by 2.4% I didn't think that justified the increase in blood pressure but that's just me.

  8. #186
    Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Posts
    417

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    that was awesome too see all the legends and Bernie.. nice tribute

  9. Likes:

    Larkin Fan (08-08-2014), Roy Tucker (08-08-2014)

  10. #187
    Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Posts
    60

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Quote Originally Posted by kbrake View Post
    I honestly don't know saw someone on Twitter ripping the bunt saying that it lowered their chance to win by 2.4% I didn't think that justified the increase in blood pressure but that's just me.
    Thats cool - I just ask bc percentages can be tricky. If it took their win % from 4.8% to 2.4% it essentially cut their chances to win in half. If it took it from 100% to 97.6% then it truly lowered it by 2.4%

    Those are the two extremes but I bet its closer to the lower numbers than the higher numbers in this case.

  11. Likes:

    powersackers (08-09-2014)

  12. #188
    Member kbrake's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Posts
    2,354

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Quote Originally Posted by RedWilly View Post
    Thats cool - I just ask bc percentages can be tricky. If it took their win % from 4.8% to 2.4% it essentially cut their chances to win in half. If it took it from 100% to 97.6% then it truly lowered it by 2.4%

    Those are the two extremes but I bet its closer to the lower numbers than the higher numbers in this case.
    If I had to guess it went from something like 35% to 33% but that is pure guessing.

  13. #189
    Be the ball Roy Tucker's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Location
    Mason, OH
    Posts
    12,356

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Been some ball players that have worn the wishbone C.

    I like being a fan of a team with such a deep and rich history.

    Pay attention to the open sky

  14. Likes:

    kbrake (08-08-2014), KittyDuran (08-09-2014), Larkin Fan (08-08-2014), PepperJack (08-08-2014)

  15. #190
    Pitching is the thing WVRedsFan's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2000
    Location
    Rainelle, WV
    Posts
    8,163

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    As elated as I was to find the game in an obscure place in NC, and as disgusted as I was to see the game play out, the HOF ceremony was so special. I watched all of those guys play and it was a shock to see Jimmy O'Toole and others walking with a cane and see that they've aged--I'll always remember them as running the field and hitting or pitching the ball. Makes you realize that life is so short and enjoy it as it happens.
    www.ris-news.com
    "You only have to bat a thousand in two things; flying and heart transplants. Everything else you can go 4-for-5."
    -Beano Cook

  16. Likes:

    kbrake (08-08-2014), KittyDuran (08-09-2014), Larkin Fan (08-08-2014), PepperJack (08-08-2014), Red Raindog (08-08-2014), Roy Tucker (08-08-2014)

  17. #191
    Member Ironman92's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Posts
    4,569

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Heck with the game


  18. Likes:

    757690 (08-08-2014), kbrake (08-08-2014), KittyDuran (08-09-2014), Larkin Fan (08-08-2014), PepperJack (08-08-2014), Red Raindog (08-08-2014), reds1869 (08-08-2014)

  19. #192
    Pitching is the thing WVRedsFan's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2000
    Location
    Rainelle, WV
    Posts
    8,163

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Quote Originally Posted by Roy Tucker View Post
    Been some ball players that have worn the wishbone C.

    I like being a fan of a team with such a deep and rich history.
    It's been a 53-year ride for me, and I love the Reds so much. Seeing half the Reds 1961 rotation (only Jay and Purkey (RIP) missing. Seeing Junior come back to cheers. Tough to keep your composure in this motel room.
    www.ris-news.com
    "You only have to bat a thousand in two things; flying and heart transplants. Everything else you can go 4-for-5."
    -Beano Cook

  20. Likes:

    KittyDuran (08-09-2014), Red Raindog (08-09-2014), Roy Tucker (08-08-2014)

  21. #193
    Member Ironman92's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Posts
    4,569

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Quote Originally Posted by 757690 View Post
    Cishek had nothing today. Even the ball Schumaker hit was hit hard. Santiago has a .324 OBP. Negron has been in the grove. Schumaker is a lefty. Without a bunt, a like the Reds chances there.
    You've got to be flipping kidding me. schumaker's ball landed 2 feet in front of the plate and the second hop was 20 feet past the mound....SS had to go to his left and catch a short hop on his side.......and you say that was hit hard but you ripped on Heisey last night on a ball he hit much harder off of a guy that fanned 3 of the next 4 hitters.

  22. #194
    Danger is my business! oneupper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Location
    Back in Florida
    Posts
    8,158

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Using one of the calculators available.
    WE: man on second none out, down by 1: 42.3%
    WE: man on third one out, down by 1: 40.4%

    No, it's not a big difference, but you have to consider other factors such as: who is running, who's coming up to bat, what's the outlook for extra innings, etc.
    And of course, the 1.9% loss in WE is only valid if the bunt is executed correctly and aside from an error or other misplay, it is the best possible outcome.
    A failed bunt, for example, brings the WE down to 27.8%. The average success rate for a bunt is around 70%, but its probably higher in situations like this where the fielding team is likely to go to first with the throw.
    So by attempting the bunt you are basically pretty much giving up WE, no matter what. It's a losing strategy.

    Not a fan.
    "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it."

    http://dalmady.blogspot.com

  23. #195
    Member 757690's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Dayton
    Posts
    11,224

    Re: 8/8/14 - Reds vs. Marlins

    Quote Originally Posted by Ironman92 View Post
    You've got to be flipping kidding me. schumaker's ball landed 2 feet in front of the plate and the second hop was 20 feet past the mound....SS had to go to his left and catch a short hop on his side.......and you say that was hit hard but you ripped on Heisey last night on a ball he hit much harder off of a guy that fanned 3 of the next 4 hitters.
    They both were hit equally hard. Both were dumb forest pitch swings, given the situation. Though I'm flattered you actually remembered something I said in a previous game thread. I say so many dumb things, I forget most of them
    "Man, the pitch looks fast, even in slow motion." Thom Brennaman on Chapman's fastball.


Turn Off Ads?

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!


RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball


Contact us: Boss | GIK | BCubb2003 | dabvu2498 | Gallen5862 | LexRedsFan | Plus Plus | RedlegJake | redsfan1995 | The Operator | Tommyjohn25