The market prices salaries perfectly, just like it does with stocks and houses.
The market prices salaries perfectly, just like it does with stocks and houses.
"I know a lot about the law and various other lawyerings."
Hitters who avoid outs are the funnest.
I've lost 3 to injury already. 2 with paper cuts and one gym teacher to rope burns. My teams are injury plagued this year.
Razor Shines (10-15-2014)
Drew overestimated his market value. At 30 years old, he just had the best season he had in a long time.
Why didn't he take Boston's qualifying offer? He was dumb and played right into the Red Sox hands.
Not sure Ervin Santanna is a good poster child for your argument. He got signed for the same amount he turned down.
The Braves gave up a pick to sign him, they could've signed him for multiple years without additional penalty, but they chose not to (for whatever reason, but other clubs agreed).
What about Lohse? He turned down the QO, but still got a multiyear deal from the Brewers.. Seems more plausible that Boras and Lohse overestimated his market value. (As did Drew).
Garza and Infante are averaging less money per year than the qualifying offer.
The system works great as is. It helps teams hold on to their free agents. Just some players overvalue themselves and turn down arbitration, thinking there's a bigger pot of gold somewhere else and get burned.
[Phil ] Castellini celebrated the team's farm system and noted the team had promising prospects who would one day be great Reds -- and then joke then they'd be ex-Reds, saying "of course we're going to lose them". #SellTheTeamBob
Nov. 13, 2007: One of the greatest days in Reds history: John Allen gets the boot!
[Phil ] Castellini celebrated the team's farm system and noted the team had promising prospects who would one day be great Reds -- and then joke then they'd be ex-Reds, saying "of course we're going to lose them". #SellTheTeamBob
Nov. 13, 2007: One of the greatest days in Reds history: John Allen gets the boot!
Only about 5-10% of free agents receive a Qualifying Offer. Teams have been very reluctant to issue QOs in recent years. Only the best free agents get QOs. Offering a QO to a player is a big risk because they just might accept it, then your team is on the hook for $15+ million that you likely didn't budget for. The Reds considered offering Bronson Arroy a QO last winter so they would get an extra 1st round draft pick when he signed elsewhere, but they ultimately decided to not make the QO because they were afraid he would take it -- and he probably would have. There are only two reasons to offer a player a QO. #1 is because you actually want the player to accept the offer and stay with your team for that price. #2 is because you are confident the player will decline the offer and you are willing to accept that risk to get the extra draft pick. Now that the QOs are quickly getting more expensive we are likely to see fewer and fewer of them offered. The reason the QO system was implemented was to put the brakes on the big market teams' habit of poaching players from small market teams. It wasn't designed to punish the players or reduce their earning ability on the free agent market, that is an unintentional side effect that MLB did not foresee.
*BaseClogger* (10-29-2014),REDREAD (10-22-2014)
I think eventually we will see the QO system altered. The team losing the free agent will still get an extra supplemental draft pick, but the team signing the free agent will not lose their 1st round pick. That will accomplish MLB's original goal of compensating the small-market team for their loss without punishing the player attached to the QO.
*BaseClogger* (10-29-2014),Rojo (10-23-2014)
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/
Tigers Make Qualifying Offer To Scherzer, Martinez; Outright Kelly, Reed
By Steve Adams [October 31, 2014 at 1:28pm CDT]
The Tigers announced that they have extended one-year, $15.3MM qualifying offer to impending free agents Max Scherzer and Victor Martinez. Additionally, the team announced that utility man Don Kelly and right-hander Evan Reed have been outrighted off the 40-man roster. The Tigers also announced that they have selected the contract of outfielder Wynton Bernard, adding him to the 40-man roster.
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/
Royals Make Qualifying Offer To James Shields
By Mark Polishuk [November 3, 2014 at 10:40am CST]
The Royals have extended a qualifying offer to free agent righty James Shields, the team announced (Twitter link). Shields has until 4pm CT on November 10 to decide whether or not to accept the one-year, $15.3MM offer, though it is universally expected that he’ll reject the QO in favor of a larger deal in free agency.
In making the qualifying offer, the Royals stand to receive a first-round draft pick as compensation if and when Shields rejects the QO and signs with another team. It has been presumed that K.C. wouldn’t be able to re-sign Shields given the high price tag he’ll command this winter, though the team will at least attempt to bring him back, perhaps buoyed by extra revenues from their postseason games.
So, Scherzer. Shields, Liriano, and Santana, V-Mart, HanRam, Cuddyer, Russell Martin, Sandoval, Cruz, Melky and David Robertson with QOs. Robertson, Cuddyer and Liriano should probably accept.
All my posts are my opinion - just like yours are. If I forget to state it and you're too dense to see the obvious, look here!
Liriano will find a nice 2-year deal, maybe even 3 years. Robertson will probably get $50-60MM. Neither should accept.
Cuddyer should, and I'm sure Santana will think twice about it this offseason, but will probably get at least a 2-year deal considering all of the major-market teams' need for starting pitching.
http://www.rotoworld.com/headlines/m...er-from-giants
Pablo Sandoval has rejected a one-year, $15.3 million qualifying offer from the Giants.
No surprise here. Sandoval will now hit the free agent market in hopes of a big payday. He has a chance at a contract in the range of $90-100 million. The Giants would like to keep him, but the Red Sox are expected to pursue him.
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