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Thread: Annual predictions thread

  1. #46
    We Need Our Myths reds1869's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    82


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  3. #47
    Member Beltway's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    86

  4. #48
    Be the ball Roy Tucker's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    I'll say 85 wins.

    Votto, Bruce, Cueto, Frazier, Mes, and Leake have nice seasons. But a wobbly pen and the #4 and #5 starters keep them from truly contending.
    She used to wake me up with coffee ever morning

  5. #49
    Red's fan mbgrayson's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    84.
    __________________
    "I think we’re starting to get to the point where people are starting to get tired of this stretch of ball,” Votto said. “I think something needs to start changing and start going in a different direction. I’m going to do my part to help make that change.”

  6. #50
    Member pedro's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    86 Wins
    School's out. What did you expect?

  7. #51
    Senor Votto
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    90 wins

  8. #52
    Box of Frogs edabbs44's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    84

  9. #53
    thorn
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    72

  10. #54
    SERP Emeritus paintmered's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    They'll be just good enough to not be sellers at the trade deadline, and the Reds fade into the finish line.

    71 wins

    (I promise I'm not a pessimist)
    All models are wrong. Some of them are useful.

  11. #55
    Member kpresidente's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    90 wins according to kpresidente's projection system:

    Code:
    		PCT	W	L								
    PYTHAG		.554	90	72
    
    BATTERS		PA	OBP	SLG	RC
    Votto		650	.411	.501	114
    Frazier		650	.320	.439	84
    Hamilton	650	.305	.370	69
    Bruce		650	.325	.476	92
    Phillips	550	.311	.391	62
    Cozart		550	.280	.326	48
    Mesoraco	500	.340	.510	79
    Boesch		350	.314	.435	45
    Byrd		300	.307	.390	34
    Negron		275	.305	.324	25
    Schumaker	250	.312	.314	22
    All Others	350	.274	.301	27
    Pena		175	.320	.338	17
    Dejesus		100	.280	.297	8
    TOTALS		6000	.321	.406	719
    
    
    PITCHERS	IP	R	ER	ERA
    Cueto		230	76	70	2.74
    Leake		215	96	90	3.77
    Bailey		205	82	77	3.38
    DeSclafini	180	90	85	4.25
    Marquis		125	72	69	4.97
    Iglesias	100	48	45	4.05
    Chapman		75	17	15	1.80
    Cingrani	70	21	19	2.44
    All Others	65	35	33	4.57
    Badenhop	60	25	23	3.45
    Diaz		50	20	19	3.42
    Gregg		50	25	24	4.32
    Parra		40	20	19	4.28
    Hoover		35	18	17	4.37
    TOTALS		1500	645	605	3.63
    I don't see where I'm going so wrong to justify all the pessimism.

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  13. #56
    NL Central champs
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    92 Wins

  14. #57
    Redsmetz redsmetz's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    This season is a guess really - it could go any number of ways, but I'm going to choose to be optimistic and expect the questions to fall mostly in the positive column. I'll go with 87 wins.
    “In the same way that a baseball season never really begins, it never really ends either.” - Lonnie Wheeler, "Bleachers, A Summer in Wrigley Field"

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  15. #58
    Man Pills Falls City Beer's Avatar
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    Re: Annual predictions thread

    80 wins

  16. #59
    Member SirFelixCat's Avatar
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    Boston, MA
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    6,317

    Re: Annual predictions thread

    84 (the missus says 89, God bless her) and praying I'm about a dozen wins too low. I fear being about 8 too high, but I'm hoping....

  17. #60
    Member 50YrRedsFan's Avatar
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    Splendora, TX
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    1,966

    Re: Annual predictions thread

    Byrd helps offense, but starting pitching regresses. 77 wins


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