According to BR, his 2018 WAR was 3.5.
Over/under for 2019: 3.5
I say over.
Bounce back year in power/slugging will yield an OPS+ that is closer to his insane career average (155) than last year's still excellent 125...yielding a higher WAR.
According to BR, his 2018 WAR was 3.5.
Over/under for 2019: 3.5
I say over.
Bounce back year in power/slugging will yield an OPS+ that is closer to his insane career average (155) than last year's still excellent 125...yielding a higher WAR.
![[deleted]'s Avatar](customavatars/avatar9629_2.gif "[deleted]'s Avatar"){kind=avatar}
At 3.5 I'll take an easy over. Setting it at 4 or 4.5 would have given me much more pause.
Griffey012 (11-15-2018)
Over
"Hey...Dad. Wanna Have A Catch?" Kevin Costner in "Field Of Dreams."
I'll be the first to go Under
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I'll go with under as well.
Go Gators!
Over
I'll cautiously take the over.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
If there’s bragging rights associated with being “right” the under may be the smart play, as you win with a poor performance or an injury.
The question to me is, what WAR does Votto put up if he plays a full season?
Over. I think Votto has another nice year in him.
It is on the whole probable that we continually dream, but that consciousness makes such a noise that we do not hear it. Carl Jung.
There is always what I hope will happen (over) and what I think will happen (under).
And I don’t like to predict because I seem to have the power to affect reality. At least I delude myself to think that.
She used to wake me up with coffee ever morning
cumberlandreds (11-16-2018)
slightly over, as in between 3.5 and 4, but not because of his hitting. He’ll do like .300/.420/.450, but his fielding will be a lot worse next year than it was this year, he actually was better than he usually is in his defensive WAR this year.
Assuming health, easy over.
Same.Originally Posted by Rijo's Ghost
Every year Votto has been healthy, he's oWAR'd over 5, essentially, with 2 exceptions: his rookie year, and last year. So, for now, last year is an outlier to me, not the latest in an emerging trend.
Removing 2009 (rookie year), 2014 (over half the year lost to injury), and 2018, Votto's oWAR by year, from b-ref:
5.0
6.7
5.8
4.8 (admittedly, less than 5, but accomplished in 110 games, an injury shortened year where Votto was on MVP pace)
6.1
7.0
5.5
6.4
And on top of that, let's remember that Baseball Savant's xWOBA/xOPS numbers made Votto one of last year's most freakishly unlucky hitters. Based on the quality of his contact, he "should" have been among the top 5% of hitters (source: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savan...-r-hitting-mlb ), and if I knew how to translate that into xWAR, I would.
But I don't.
So I won't.
But I sort of guess it would be closer to 5.
alwaysawarrior (11-16-2018),BoxingRed (11-18-2018)
4.2
"One problem with people who have no vices is that they're pretty sure to have some annoying virtues."
Over if heathy.
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