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Thread: How Much Has Castillo Actually Improved?

  1. #61
    Daffy Duck RedTeamGo!'s Avatar
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    Re: How Much Has Castillo Actually Improved?

    Quote Originally Posted by Sea Ray View Post
    No, he walked a lot of folks vs Houston too
    He also had three games this year where he had 0.

    He is walking too many batters, no one is saying otherwise. If you look at his career it is the one number that stands out this most this year with regard to his entire career as an outlier. Maybe he will move forward leading the league in walks every year. I simply doubt it.
    What would you say.....ya do here?

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  3. #62
    Member redsrule2500's Avatar
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    Re: How Much Has Castillo Actually Improved?

    Quote Originally Posted by 757690 View Post
    Luis Castillo's early season success was one of the major bright spots for the Reds so far in 2019. But looking at his overall numbers, outside of ERA, it seems he actually has been pitching around the same as he has been his whole career.

    2019

    3.70 FIP
    3.75 xFIP
    2.22 K/BB
    0.79 HR/9

    Career

    4.01 FIP
    3.63 xFIP
    2.86 K/BB
    1.21 HR/9

    Basically his K/BB rate is actually worse than his career, thanks to too many BB's, while his HR/9 rate is better, which is due to getting more GB and fewer FB.

    His much lower ERA seems to be due to his very low BABIP, .243, but he always has had a low BABIP, with a career .264.

    Of course, he had a terrible game yesterday, so maybe that has skewed the numbers a bit, but all games count. But it looks like Castillo is due for a correction at some point this season, and may not be the true Ace we were hoping he would be at the start of this season.
    HR/9 is the only really impressive statistic, unfortunately. And it's likely within the margin of error.
    redsrule2500
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  4. #63
    Daffy Duck RedTeamGo!'s Avatar
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    Re: How Much Has Castillo Actually Improved?

    Quote Originally Posted by redsrule2500 View Post
    HR/9 is the only really impressive statistic, unfortunately. And it's likely within the margin of error.
    Call me crazy but 10.7 k/9 is pretty impressive
    What would you say.....ya do here?

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  6. #64
    Member Sea Ray's Avatar
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    Re: How Much Has Castillo Actually Improved?

    Quote Originally Posted by RedTeamGo! View Post
    He also had three games this year where he had 0.

    He is walking too many batters, no one is saying otherwise. If you look at his career it is the one number that stands out this most this year with regard to his entire career as an outlier. Maybe he will move forward leading the league in walks every year. I simply doubt it.
    I think the issue is pretty simple. After his quick start, scouting noticed that a lot of his pitches were outside the strike zone. Players are being coached to be patient with him. This has led to more walks. He now needs to adjust. He needs to throw that changeup so that it clips a corner of the plate

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  8. #65
    Probably not Patrick Bateman's Avatar
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    Re: How Much Has Castillo Actually Improved?

    For the record, he's never had this high a walk rate before, but his stuff seems like its been improving too.

    I think there's a real chance that we are seeing an adjustment period while he continues learning the right pitch mix, and adjusting to his stuff. I don't see a guy that is trying to bit corners, and be too fancy, I see a guy who is just uncontrollably missing more than he has in the past.

    I have some hope there is another adjustment coming for Castillo... he certainly has "elite" stuff, but hasn't commanded is consistently enough to be a regular elite pitcher.

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  10. #66
    TyrannoSuarez Wrecks WrongVerb's Avatar
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    Re: How Much Has Castillo Actually Improved?

    The world is a messy place. People are inconsistent and complicated. Maybe we should see how different things could be if we gave grace and forgiveness to our fellow human beings when they fail to be perfect in our eyes. -- me

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  12. #67
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    Re: How Much Has Castillo Actually Improved?

    Quote Originally Posted by WrongVerb View Post
    Look at the grip on that change. Anyone know where we could find a Mario Soto grip on a change to compare the two?
    I walk into the clubhouse today and its like walking into the Mayo Clinic. We have four doctors, three therapists and five trainers. Back when I broke in, we had one trainer who carried a bottle of rubbing alcohol, and by the 7th inning hed already drunk it. Tommy Lasorda

  13. #68
    Member Ron Madden's Avatar
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    Re: How Much Has Castillo Actually Improved?

    MLB network discusses Luis Castillo..

    https://700wlw.iheart.com/featured/l...luis-castillo/

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