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Thread: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

  1. #76
    Puffy 3:16 Puffy's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by wheels
    161-1
    I got $50 that says the one loss is to Oswalt
    "I came here to kick ass and chew bubble gum... and I'm all out of bubble gum."
    - - Rowdy Roddy Piper

    "It takes a big man to admit when he is wrong. I am not a big man"
    - - Fletch

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  3. #77
    The Lineups stink. KronoRed's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Are you kidding?

    It'll be to Jimmy Anderson
    Go Gators!

  4. #78
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by KronoRed
    Are you kidding?

    It'll be to Jimmy Anderson

    Well, we know it will be to a soft-tossing LHP.

  5. #79
    SERP Emeritus paintmered's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Opposing teams will figure out that having lefties pitch underhand is the key to success against the reds.

    I really wish I could see the rose color. I really do. But....

    76-86

    The reds will be leading the central at the end of May, 12 games over .500........but will tank as soon as the humidity hits in June.
    What if this wasn't a rhetorical question?

    All models are wrong. Some of them are useful.

  6. #80
    Member SteelSD's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by DoogMinAmo
    Out of sincere curiosity, are those determining their record prediction on Pythag expecting the Reds to perform at, below or above like they did last year. It is one thing to say Pythag predicts about a 76-86 record, another thing to say that Pythag is not precise, there IS a margin of error, and the Reds have outperformed it in the past... precedents out the wazoo!
    At.

    Beating the house as many times as the Reds have the past three years (3, 6, 9 games above) is great. But the house ain't gonna lose every hand.
    "The problem with strikeouts isn't that they hurt your team, it's that they hurt your feelings..." --Rob Neyer

    "The single most important thing for a hitter is to get a good pitch to hit. A good hitter can hit a pitch that’s over the plate three times better than a great hitter with a ball in a tough spot.”
    --Ted Williams

  7. #81
    Member Cedric's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Steel- Serious question because I'm not fully aware of the Pythag theory. Is it possible that the structure of the Reds ballclub makes us better suited to beat the prediction? Like do offensive clubs that score more runs have a bigger error size? I'm trying to make this question sound clear, I hope it is.
    This is the time. The real Reds organization is back.

  8. #82
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    85-77...8 games over .500 and no playoffs.

  9. #83
    Churlish Johnny Footstool's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Steel- Serious question because I'm not fully aware of the Pythag theory. Is it possible that the structure of the Reds ballclub makes us better suited to beat the prediction? Like do offensive clubs that score more runs have a bigger error size? I'm trying to make this question sound clear, I hope it is.
    I've heard that a strong back-end of the bullpen can help a team beat Pythagorian projections. Logically, it seems to make sense -- your SPs and swingmen can get bombed in blowout losses that decimate your run differential, but your setup men and closers can earn close wins.

    Unfortunately, I've never seen any evidence to prove or disprove that theory.

    BTW - my prediction is 81-81. 10 games over .500 through May, then the June Swoon hits as teams start seeing Wilson, Ortiz, and Harang for the second or third time.
    "I prefer books and movies where the conflict isn't of the extreme cannibal apocalypse variety I guess." Redsfaithful

  10. #84
    Pre-tty, pre-tty good!! MWM's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    What do win for predeicing the worst record?
    Grape works as a soda. Sort of as a gum. I wonder why it doesn't work as a pie. Grape pie? There's no grape pie. - Larry David

  11. #85
    SERP Emeritus paintmered's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by MWM
    What do win for predeicing the worst record?

    Pessimist of the year

    What if this wasn't a rhetorical question?

    All models are wrong. Some of them are useful.

  12. #86
    Unsolicited Opinions traderumor's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by MWM
    What do win for predeicing the worst record?
    The Courage Award?

    The Bravest Realist Award?
    Can't win with 'em

    Can't win without 'em

  13. #87
    breath westofyou's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by MWM
    What do win for predeicing the worst record?
    A dictionary.

  14. #88
    Unsolicited Opinions traderumor's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Don't worry, MWM, just like the Olympics, we throw out the highest and lowest score...

    which brings me to another potential award...The Russian Judge Award
    Can't win with 'em

    Can't win without 'em

  15. #89
    Unsolicited Opinions traderumor's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by chris Napier
    102-60
    While we're handing out awards for the predictions, I give this one the "When Harry met Sally" Award, as in "I'll have some of what she's having..."
    Can't win with 'em

    Can't win without 'em

  16. #90
    Unsolicited Opinions traderumor's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 4th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by seven and chang
    Oh Pyth, it's just a theory. Reds grab Tim Redding on waivers at the end of spring training. The light finally goes on in his head. Cincinnati laughs all the way to the bank depositing a 92-70 season and collecting a receipt for one brand spanking new 2005 Central division title.
    And the "Shattered Dreams on my Honeymoon" Award for the first prediction to go down
    http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=32862
    Can't win with 'em

    Can't win without 'em


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