I got $50 that says the one loss is to OswaltOriginally Posted by wheels
I got $50 that says the one loss is to OswaltOriginally Posted by wheels
"I came here to kick ass and chew bubble gum... and I'm all out of bubble gum."
- - Rowdy Roddy Piper
"It takes a big man to admit when he is wrong. I am not a big man"
- - Fletch
Are you kidding?
It'll be to Jimmy Anderson
Go Gators!
Originally Posted by KronoRed
Well, we know it will be to a soft-tossing LHP.
Opposing teams will figure out that having lefties pitch underhand is the key to success against the reds.
I really wish I could see the rose color. I really do. But....
76-86
The reds will be leading the central at the end of May, 12 games over .500........but will tank as soon as the humidity hits in June.
All models are wrong. Some of them are useful.
At.Originally Posted by DoogMinAmo
Beating the house as many times as the Reds have the past three years (3, 6, 9 games above) is great. But the house ain't gonna lose every hand.
"The problem with strikeouts isn't that they hurt your team, it's that they hurt your feelings..." --Rob Neyer
"The single most important thing for a hitter is to get a good pitch to hit. A good hitter can hit a pitch that’s over the plate three times better than a great hitter with a ball in a tough spot.”
--Ted Williams
Steel- Serious question because I'm not fully aware of the Pythag theory. Is it possible that the structure of the Reds ballclub makes us better suited to beat the prediction? Like do offensive clubs that score more runs have a bigger error size? I'm trying to make this question sound clear, I hope it is.
This is the time. The real Reds organization is back.
85-77...8 games over .500 and no playoffs.
I've heard that a strong back-end of the bullpen can help a team beat Pythagorian projections. Logically, it seems to make sense -- your SPs and swingmen can get bombed in blowout losses that decimate your run differential, but your setup men and closers can earn close wins.Steel- Serious question because I'm not fully aware of the Pythag theory. Is it possible that the structure of the Reds ballclub makes us better suited to beat the prediction? Like do offensive clubs that score more runs have a bigger error size? I'm trying to make this question sound clear, I hope it is.
Unfortunately, I've never seen any evidence to prove or disprove that theory.
BTW - my prediction is 81-81. 10 games over .500 through May, then the June Swoon hits as teams start seeing Wilson, Ortiz, and Harang for the second or third time.
"I prefer books and movies where the conflict isn't of the extreme cannibal apocalypse variety I guess." Redsfaithful
What do win for predeicing the worst record?
Grape works as a soda. Sort of as a gum. I wonder why it doesn't work as a pie. Grape pie? There's no grape pie. - Larry David
Originally Posted by MWM
Pessimist of the year
All models are wrong. Some of them are useful.
The Courage Award?Originally Posted by MWM
The Bravest Realist Award?
"Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"
A dictionary.Originally Posted by MWM
Don't worry, MWM, just like the Olympics, we throw out the highest and lowest score...
which brings me to another potential award...The Russian Judge Award
"Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"
While we're handing out awards for the predictions, I give this one the "When Harry met Sally" Award, as in "I'll have some of what she's having..."Originally Posted by chris Napier
"Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"
And the "Shattered Dreams on my Honeymoon" Award for the first prediction to go downOriginally Posted by seven and chang
http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=32862
"Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"
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