I know that Baseball America isn't the holy grail or anything. And I understand that signability has to be considered when making these picks. But the Reds have overdrafted BB America's draft projection on all 6 of their first picks:
Gruler - Reds 3rd pick, BBA 7th pick
Schramek - Reds 40th pick, BBA 240th pick
Votto - Reds 44th pick, BBA not in top 250
Edens - Reds 75th pick, BBA 161st pick
Vazquez - Reds 150th pick, BBA 171st pick
Howard - Reds 135th pick, BBA 181st pick
You can't blame this all on the small market phenomenon. Consider the Pirates' selections
Bullington - Pirates 1st pick, BBA 3rd pick
Johnson - Pirates 42nd pick, BBA 41st pick
Lee - Pirates 73rd pick, BBA 77th pick
Starling - Pirates 103rd pick, BBA 51st pick
Hart - Pirates 133rd pick, BBA 90th pick
If these guys pan out for the Reds, they will look like geniuses, because they're certainly bucking the conventional wisdom