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Thread: BA's Early 2006 Draft Preview - Has Reds picking....

  1. #16
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    Re: BA's Early 2006 Draft Preview - Has Reds picking....

    It would be great if Kennedy falls to us. Strikeout machine with a great curve and college level results, that's my kind of guy.

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  3. #17
    Posting in Dynarama M2's Avatar
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    Re: BA's Early 2006 Draft Preview - Has Reds picking....

    Quote Originally Posted by lollipopcurve
    I agree. If I'm the SD and looking at the #8 pick, I have my crosscheckers looking at the top 5-6 college arms and the top 2-3 high school arms. Then, the consensus top 3-4 bats at each level.
    It's fine to check those things, but unless my crosscheckers offer to saw off a limb should this pick go wrong then I'd be taking a college pitcher.

    I don't usually take this sort of stance on the draft, but with this draft class and given the Reds' needs, any other course looks to me like pure insanity.

    Information is always good to have, just don't overthink things. This draft will line up to give the Reds what they need and they need to take it.
    Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong

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  4. #18
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    Re: BA's Early 2006 Draft Preview - Has Reds picking....

    This draft will line up to give the Reds what they need and they need to take it.
    You may be right. I'm just a BPA guy, and I think the best HS arms are undervalued these days. I see draft choices as long-term investments that should not be tied to any immediate needs on the major league club. In my book, it's draft serves the minor league system, minor league system serves major league club. If you know what I mean.

    However, I am sympathetic to the notion that in their system the Reds lack pitchers in that 21-23 age range (which results from several years in not finding any pitching at all in the draft), therefore it might be a good idea to get a top-notch college pitcher who will likely have immediate value as a prospect at least.
    "Baseball is a very, very complex business. It's more of a people business than most businesses." - Bob Castellini

  5. #19
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    Re: BA's Early 2006 Draft Preview - Has Reds picking....

    You may be right. I'm just a BPA guy, and I think the best HS arms are undervalued these days. I see draft choices as long-term investments that should not be tied to any immediate needs on the major league club. In my book, it's draft serves the minor league system, minor league system serves major league club. If you know what I mean.

    However, I am sympathetic to the notion that in their system the Reds lack pitchers in that 21-23 age range (which results from several years in not finding any pitching at all in the draft), therefore it might be a good idea to get a top-notch college pitcher who will likely have immediate value as a prospect at least.
    In terms of pitching, the Reds minor league system hasn't been serving the major league club for a long time. Isn't that at mostly because so many of the young HS arms the Reds picked in the early rounds didn't pan out?
    "I prefer books and movies where the conflict isn't of the extreme cannibal apocalypse variety I guess." Redsfaithful

  6. #20
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    Re: BA's Early 2006 Draft Preview - Has Reds picking....

    Quote Originally Posted by lollipopcurve
    You may be right. I'm just a BPA guy, and I think the best HS arms are undervalued these days. I see draft choices as long-term investments that should not be tied to any immediate needs on the major league club. In my book, it's draft serves the minor league system, minor league system serves major league club. If you know what I mean.

    However, I am sympathetic to the notion that in their system the Reds lack pitchers in that 21-23 age range (which results from several years in not finding any pitching at all in the draft), therefore it might be a good idea to get a top-notch college pitcher who will likely have immediate value as a prospect at least.
    IMO, given the rate at which highly drafted HS arms fail, it's impossible to undervalue them. I'd have a much different take if the Reds weren't drafting until 20 or so picks were off the board or if the system was crazy deep like the Twins. But at #8? Don't whiz on the electric fence.
    Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong

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  7. #21
    C-A-T-S CATS! CATS! CATS! WVRed's Avatar
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    Re: BA's Early 2006 Draft Preview - Has Reds picking....

    Quote Originally Posted by missionhockey21
    It would be great if Kennedy falls to us. Strikeout machine with a great curve and college level results, that's my kind of guy.
    Agreed, USC has a tendency to produce great pitchers, and Kennedy is no exception.
    Quote Originally Posted by savafan View Post
    I've read books about sparkling vampires who walk around in the daylight that were written better than a John Fay article.

  8. #22
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    Re: BA's Early 2006 Draft Preview - Has Reds picking....

    I find these early mock draft exercises to be unreliable. The top ten could change a lot, due to injury, poor years, and other unforseen events. There are college arms that may appear as second tier right now, who could - and will - move up.

    At the #8 pick, there's no reason the Reds can't snag one of the top five college arms. The question remains whether or not the new GM is willing to buck conventional scouting wisdom and pass on the mythical superstar coming out of HS.
    Opinions are like belly buttons. Everybody has one, and they don't want someone else's shoved into their face.


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