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Thread: AL Pitchers v. NL Pitchers

  1. #16
    Playoffs Cyclone792's Avatar
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    Re: AL Pitchers v. NL Pitchers

    More stuff on the AL vs. NL. I wonder if our front office has any types of similar programs available, and if they do have them, if those programs are used regularly with any purpose.

    Anyhow, here's the article ...

    http://www.boston.com/sports/basebal..._of_their_own/

    Among the statistical devices Red Sox management has at its disposal is a program that simulates a major league season. One thing the Sox brass has done: place American League teams as presently composed in the National League and simulate a 162-game season. The club's conclusion: There is a 10-game difference (which is considered gigantic) between leagues. In other words: An AL team that projects to win 85 games in the AL this season projects to win 95 in the NL, according to general manager Theo Epstein.

    Perhaps this helps explain the Sox' remarkable run of success against the NL. They are unbeaten in six consecutive games (sweeps of Atlanta and Washington) and 8-1 overall this year vs. the NL. (They won two of three at Philadelphia last month. Going back to June 12, 2005, the Sox are 17-2 vs. the NL.)

    Against the NL this season, the Sox are 7-1 with a 3.55 ERA (relievers, however, are just 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA). As a team, the Sox are batting .332 and slugging .537 with a .406 on-base percentage against NL pitching. That's a team OPS of .943. Now, Kevin Youkilis's season OPS is .943, meaning just about every Sox batter who goes to the plate against an NL pitcher is performing like Youkilis.

    Only two Red Sox regulars, Manny Ramírez (.233) and Coco Crisp (.269), are hitting less than .320 vs. the NL. The rest of the lineup: Trot Nixon (.387), Mark Loretta (.375), Jason Varitek (.333), Youkilis (.333), Alex Gonzalez (.333), David Ortiz (.323), Mike Lowell (.321). Gabe Kapler is 4 for 7 (.571). Even Sox pitchers are hacking with success. Josh Beckett is 3 for 7 with a homer and 3 RBIs, helping the pitchers to a total of 5 for 16 (.313).
    Last edited by Cyclone792; 06-23-2006 at 04:53 PM.
    Barry Larkin - HOF, 2012

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  3. #17
    "So Fla Red"
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    Re: AL Pitchers v. NL Pitchers

    The recent run of AL just hammering the NL has been amazing from a statistical perspective.

    Not surprised the Big AL 4 have been beating up on the NL (except for the Yankees), but it's gone down the line to include doormat AL teams like the Mariners, D-Rays and Royals.

    This year there appears to be a clear difference in the leagues. The NL is weak which is allowing for an interesting opportunity for a flawed club like the Reds to compete for a playoff spot to the end (87-88 wins might be good enough)

    Trading strategy -- Acquire AL pitching

  4. #18
    "Let's Roll" TeamBoone's Avatar
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    Re: AL Pitchers v. NL Pitchers

    Pitchers go back and forth between both leagues all the time, so how can the AL be considered better than the NL?

    Plus, if the offensive lineups are so much tougher in the AL than the NL (as Arroyo says), then you'd think the AL pitching would be worse and the NL pitching better.

    I know the stats say so but none of it makes any sense, which is why I chalk it up to coincidence.
    "Enjoy this Reds fans, you are watching a legend grow up before your very eyes" ... DoogMinAmo on Adam Dunn


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