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Thread: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

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    Yay! dabvu2498's Avatar
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    3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    Hal McCoy: With 62 left, let's consider 6
    By Hal McCoy

    Dayton Daily News

    HOUSTON The bad news is that the Cincinnati Reds face Roger Clemens tonight in Minute Maid Park, which means they might score one or two runs. The good news is that Aaron Harang 2-0 against the Astros this year pitches for the Reds, and when Clemens pitches, Houston's offense considers it a holiday and takes the night off.

    This is game number 100 for the Reds, so let's play numbers three reasons why the Reds might stay in playoff contention and three reasons why they might not.

    Why they might

    1 To put it politely, the National League stinks to high heaven. Reds manager Jerry Narron puts it best: "Other than the New York Mets, every team in the National League has holes." Some are deep black holes (Pittsburgh comes to mind), some are Swiss-cheese holes (that, of course, would be Milwaukee) and some have bullet holes (self-inflicted defeats). The Reds fall into the last category, and if they limit games they give away, they can make it.

    2 The bullpen no longer is The Firestarters. The fix began with the acquisition of closer Eddie Guardado (5-for-5 in saves), which enabled Todd Coffey to return to the setup role in which he thrived. The Magic Man, Gary Majewski, so far has been black magic, but Bill Bray is solid. Jason Standridge has been nearly perfect since his recall. If not yet solid, the bullpen at least isn't a bucket with a hole in it.

    3 They have seven games remaining with division leader St. Louis, and as long as they keep David Weathers away from Albert Pujols, they have a chance to gain considerable ground. They have nine left with Pittsburgh and seven with the Chicago Cubs, and if the Reds don't win at least a dozen, they will have shot off most of their fingers.

    Why they might not

    1 The Reds can rely on Bronson Arroyo and Harang for professional starts. Eric Milton is up and down more than a standard Duncan Yo-Yo. Elizardo Ramirez usually is passable, but they don't score runs for him. The Reds need two starters, and Joe Mays isn't even close to being the pitching version of Willie Mays. The more they run him out there, the more they run themselves out of contention. When fans are begging for the return of Brandon Claussen (3-8, 6.19 ERA), you know something is rotten in the Rhineland rotation.

    2 With the trade of Austin Kearns and Felipe Lopez, the offense is a tad weaker. The four hottest hitters are Edwin Encarnacion, Ryan Freel, Scott Hatteberg and Rich Aurilia, but Narron can't find a way to get all four in the lineup at once. "I'd love to run the same eight out there every day and have the fans be shocked when they see a guy like Ed Armbrister in there, but I can't," he said, referring, of course, to Sparky Anderson and his Band of Eight during the Big Red Machine Days.

    3 The Reds have only 33 games on the road and 29 at home. While Great American Ball Park seems well-suited for them, the Reds do not dominate at home. Their just-completed 7-3 homestand still leaves them only two games over .500 at GABP while they are three over on the road. They need more road games.


    Contact this reporter at hmccoy@DaytonDailyNews.com.
    Find this article at:
    http://www.daytondailynews.com/sport...2506mccoy.html
    When all is said and done more is said than done.

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    breath westofyou's Avatar
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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    you know something is rotten in the Rhineland rotation.
    Hal's showing his age, I haven't seen Cincinnati referenced as "Rhineland" in at least 25 years.

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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    Hard to believe there are only 62 games to go. Seems like we froze on Opening Day just last week.
    "Strickland Propane... Taste the meat, not the heat." - Hank Hill

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    2009: Fail Ltlabner's Avatar
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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    Hal's typical good stuff.

    I think his number one reason for the Reds is my biggest concern. Starting pitching. BA and Harrang can only be ridden so hard. Lizzard and Milton have to step up and turn in decent outings on a regular basis. And we have to solve the #5 problem with a trade or from within.

    Going to be tough.
    Last edited by Ltlabner; 07-25-2006 at 07:34 PM.
    a super volcano of ridonkulous suckitude.

    I simply don't have access to a "cares about RBI" place in my psyche. There is a "mildly curious about OBI%" alcove just before the acid filled lake guarded by robot snipers with lasers which leads to the "cares about RBI" antechamber though. - Nate

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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    3 The Reds have only 33 games on the road and 29 at home. While Great American Ball Park seems well-suited for them, the Reds do not dominate at home. Their just-completed 7-3 homestand still leaves them only two games over .500 at GABP while they are three over on the road. They need more road games.
    So that makes it 4 reasons they might, and only 2 that they might not?
    Baseball is like church. Many attend, few understand

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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    not trying to be negative,just realistic..its taken the reds 100 games to be 4.5 games out tonight..unlikely they can gain 4.5 in 62 games left...but lets see what happens

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    2009: Fail Ltlabner's Avatar
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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    not trying to be negative,just realistic..its taken the reds 100 games to be 4.5 games out tonight..unlikely they can gain 4.5 in 62 games left...but lets see what happens
    Yet they did it earlier this year in one road trip.

    But hey, when negativity means realisim, the facts don't always matter.

    But I do agree Butler that they better not squander any of those remaining 62 opportunities. They are running out of games.
    a super volcano of ridonkulous suckitude.

    I simply don't have access to a "cares about RBI" place in my psyche. There is a "mildly curious about OBI%" alcove just before the acid filled lake guarded by robot snipers with lasers which leads to the "cares about RBI" antechamber though. - Nate

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    Kmac5 KoryMac5's Avatar
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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    Quote Originally Posted by BUTLER REDSFAN
    not trying to be negative,just realistic..its taken the reds 100 games to be 4.5 games out tonight..unlikely they can gain 4.5 in 62 games left...but lets see what happens

    I really feel like the team we have now is a more solid version than we had in the first 100 games. Both the bullpen and the defense are improved so lets hope for a surge this last 62 games.

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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    Quote Originally Posted by BUTLER REDSFAN
    not trying to be negative,just realistic..its taken the reds 100 games to be 4.5 games out tonight..unlikely they can gain 4.5 in 62 games left...but lets see what happens
    The Reds have done it twice and we 7 games left with the Cards.
    Record so far 6-2 Reds
    The Hunt for a Reds October.

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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    I don't think we will win the division, but I do think we will in the Wildcard. I think we're better than all the other teams chasing us for the wildcard, none of them scare me. I think we're just as good as the Cardinals, but they have one thing we don't... Pujols.
    R.I.P Farney 12/22/2012

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    Re: 3 reasons they might, 3 reasons they might not (100 games in)

    Quote Originally Posted by westofyou
    Hal's showing his age, I haven't seen Cincinnati referenced as "Rhineland" in at least 25 years.
    I have to give Hal props for that one. It's old school! Next, we need a reference to "the local nine".


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