Code:
National League
W L GB Left
Cincinnati 53 47 -- 62
Arizona 51 48 1.5 63
San Francisco 51 49 2.0 62
Milwaukee 48 53 5.5 61
Atlanta 47 52 5.5 63
Colorado 47 52 5.5 63
Florida 46 52 6.0 64
Houston 47 53 6.0 62
LA Dodgers 47 54 6.5 61
Philadelphia 44 53 7.5 65
Washington 44 56 9.0 62
Chi Cubs 39 61 14.0 62
Pittsburgh 36 66 18.0 60
Unless Houston goes on a tear over the next two weeks I think everyone below Florida is done. I think the Reds can finish off Milwaukee this weekend. I think Colorada is done as well.
That leaves San Francisco, Arizona, and Atlanta as threats to the Reds current lead in the WC. Of that trio, I only think Atlanta has a serious chance to challenge the team. Arizona doesn't have the starters, and San Fran is just too old. Atlanta has been there before and Cox probably won't let them fade.
Now granted, the Reds could fold and give away the playoff slot, but if things continue as is, I don't think anyone but Atlanta could overtake them.
Of course if the Reds play over their head against St. Louis in the first half of August they could potentially still win the division title, but I think the WC is the likliest scenario for making the play offs.
When do tickets go on sale?
Just rambling I know, but thought I'd ramble out loud.