I used honest in the title lest anyone think this is another stats battle thread.
What is the average probablity that an at-bat will produce the following outcomes:
out
1B
2B
3B
HR
I know it's a very broad question and that it will differ for each batter, but I'm currious what the average probability would be for these events to take place. i.e. generally speaking the average probability of a double being hit in any given AB is 8%, or whatever.
Further, what is the average probability that a runner on 1B will actaully become a run? I'd be currious to know the same for a runner on 2nd and 3rd also. In other words, if a guy is on 2B what are the chances of him making it home, on average?
Thanks in advance for the effort in research, number chrunching, etc.