When you count on career years and over-your-head production for more than a few months, you're likely going to be falling down backwards when it becomes painfully obvious that over-your-head production was just that.
The Lost Decade Average Season: 74-88
2014-15 Average Season: 72-90
What are you, people? On dope? - Mr Hand
I have no objection at all to you liking Krivsky, nor am I inimical to the idea that Bowden should remain in baseball purgatory, but I'd love to know why you are happy with Krivsky--and please don't just point to his pre-July 1 moves because it's common knowledge that all those positive moves have been countervailed by the post-July 1 moves. Please just tell me, in as clear a language as possible, what is it about Wayne's philosophy/method that you are happy with?
David Ross is 29 and Ryan Freel is 30. If anyone started pressing, I'd suggest that it might have been Dunn- particularly after Griffey went down. But, again, the psychological impact of the trade is far lower on the totem pole than how it affected the performance dynamics of the lineup over time.I think it's reasonable to consider that Ross, Freel and EE started pressing thinking they had to pull some extra weight. They are younger and less experenced so I think you raise a valid point that the loss of AK and Lopez would have some psycological impact on them that would effect them at the plate.
What I'm saying is that the Reds- with players like Kearns and Lopez- would be less prone to long-term collective slumps because of the nature of their talents (particularly their ability to work pitchers and plate discipline). The team didn't have to go into a collective slump immediately after the trade, but the team maintaining such performance over time is directly related to a reduction in plate discipline and working counts. It was part and parcel to the offensive dynamic last year as well as early on this year. A team can take that hit if it receives a bigger additional boost somewhere else, but that wasn't going to happen even if both RP's acquired performed up to their pre-ASB level. In short, it was a value loss even if Bray and Majewski pitched well. That's enough to make the swap inexcusable on the day of the deal. What's happened since has just further buried it in the litterbox.If there was a direct cause and effect (ie, the trade triggered a collective slump) however, I would have thought it would have shown up much sooner if that were the case. .
"The problem with strikeouts isn't that they hurt your team, it's that they hurt your feelings..." --Rob Neyer
"The single most important thing for a hitter is to get a good pitch to hit. A good hitter can hit a pitch that’s over the plate three times better than a great hitter with a ball in a tough spot.”
The Kearns/Lopez trade for crap is old news. Simply put, Wayne K. got owned by Bowden.
Time to move on.
We need some Outfield bats and Chris Denorfia will never be more than a 4th Outfielder.
What are you, people? On dope? - Mr Hand
Talent is God Given: be humble.
Fame is man given: be thankful.
Conceit is self given: be careful.
The pitching numbers of the REDS in the last 5-7 years should be analyzed. I saw that the REDS avg. 5.03 runs/game last year. The differences to start this year were Ross (injured LaRue) and Hatteberg (traded Casey). Not sure if Ross or Hatte were worse than last year's LaRue and Casey. Oh, before I forget, the REDS gave up 5.45 runs/game last year. If anyone cares the drop in both RS-RA have been greater for less runs allowed than runs scored. Still giving up more than allowing, but the gap has closed compared to last year.
How soon we forget that this team has outperformed expectations at the start of the year. One more win means a better record than last year. I hope they can do this with 13 games remaining. Nothing to brag about, but an improvement all the same. I guess I am admitting that I did not expect a miracle (making the postseason) this year.
Small market fan... always hoping, but never expecting.
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