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Thread: NLCS game 7 thread

  1. #211
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Falls City Beer View Post
    If I'm the Cards I'm trying to find a way to squeeze three starts out of him if possible.

    You could get him for 3 starts if you start him on 1 days rest, then 3 days twice in a row.

    I hope they follow your advice.

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  3. #212
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Falls City Beer View Post
    The Cards' offense--now healthy--is pretty much every bit the offense of the Tigers. Maybe better.
    The Cards OPS in the playoffs is .750, which is less than their regular season OPS of .769.


    The Tigers are at .867. compared to .777 during the seaosn.

    It appears to be the Tigers who are stepping it up, not the Cardinals.

  4. #213
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Austin Kearns View Post
    Especially when he's scheduled to make 1 start.

    For the record, Suppan has a DIPS ERA in the playoffs of 3.72.

    He's been very lucky and has recored only 9 K's with 9 walks. Only his abilty to keep it in the park has allowed him to slightly over achieve during the playoffs,
    Ask the Mets, the NL's best offense, what they think of the guy who spanked them twice in 5 days' time. It's rare that an offense gets shut down in almost exactly the same manner after having seen the guy just days before.

    Results matter in the playoffs. It's a different beast from the regular season. DIPS only matters vis the regular season.

  5. #214
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Austin Kearns View Post
    The Cards OPS in the playoffs is .750, which is less than their regular season OPS of .769.

    .
    The "healthy" part of my comment refers to them having gotten healthy over the last month or so of the season--not that they've all of a sudden gotten healthy since the beginning of the postseason.

  6. #215
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    http://www.baseballprospectus.com/ar...67c98ec4ec7045

    The defense deserves just as much credit as the pitchers do. The Mets popped eight homers in the NLCS and drew 24 walks, good totals for a seven-game series. When they put the ball in play, however, they made outs. They hit a lowly .242 on balls in play, more than 50 points below their regular-season mark. The Cardinals, not a strikeout staff, managed to pitch to contact (just 36 strikeouts in seven games) without getting singled and doubled to death. They share some credit for that figure, but when you look at why the Mets didn’t put runs on the board, that .242 mark (of if you prefer, a DER of about .758), was the key to the series.

  7. #216
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Falls City Beer View Post
    Results matter in the playoffs. It's a different beast from the regular season. DIPS only matters vis the regular season.
    Results matter just as much in the regular season as the playoffs.

    DIPS ERA is an indication of what to expect from a pitcher in the future. The fact that Suppan's results have been better than his actual performance is an indication that Suppan is more likely to get less results in the future, unless he, in fact, starts to pitch better.

  8. #217
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Roy Tucker View Post
    Great ballgame last night. I enjoyed it. The way those 0's kept rolling up on the scoreboard, it was a little reminiscent of the '90 Twins-Braves game 7. Clutch pitching.
    I seem to remember different teams that year, but that has been a few years. Maybe my memory's faulty.

  9. #218
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    Quote Originally Posted by PuffyPig View Post
    Results matter just as much in the regular season as the playoffs.

    DIPS ERA is an indication of what to expect from a pitcher in the future. The fact that Suppan's results have been better than his actual performance is an indication that Suppan is more likely to get less results in the future, unless he, in fact, starts to pitch better.
    The guy has been brilliant for 3 straight months. And how can you effectively gauge DIPS ERA for 2 or 3 starts? That is, is that really an altogether effective gauge of the future or small sample goofiness? A lot of the walks Suppan's issued have been deliberate and timely, not the results of the inability to throw strikes.

  10. #219
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    He has a DIPS ERA of 4.68 this year.

    He's been far from brilliant.

    He hasn't even been average.

    But he has improved as the season has gone on.

  11. #220
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Falls City Beer View Post
    Ask the Mets, the NL's best offense...
    FYI, the Mets were 3rd in runs scored this season in the NL.

  12. #221
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    Re: NLCS game 7 thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Falls City Beer View Post
    For the record, I don't think I've seen a pitching performance like Suppan's since Smoltz' brilliant outing in Game 7 of the 91 Series. Hostile environment, tough offense--totally and completely unfazed. If I'm the Cards I'm trying to find a way to squeeze three starts out of him if possible. He was utterly unhittable last night.
    Very true. But Kenny Rogers also turned in two very good gems also.

    I say the Tigers in 5 games. They have home field advantage (46-35), the Tiger's SP will shut them down.

    The Cards are not facing SD or the Mets now; but a far superior team. And it's gonna show.
    "In my day you had musicians who experimented with drugs. Now it's druggies experimenting with music" - Alfred G Clark (circa 1972)


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