Not sure if this is bad luck, but I've been studying up on Reds pitching prospects and below are some basic stats for 13 top pitching prospects in the system. (I haven't seen any of these guys pitch and since I don't proclaim to even remotely know how to project talent to the next level, it probably wouldn't matter if I did. Just looking at numbers and a few reports and noting things that pop out to me.) These ages are next season and numbers are combined across all levels. I did this by hand, so if you see an error please point it out and I'll correct. Excuse the crooked table. I need a couple lessons I guess.
Name (Throws) Age IP ERA WHIP K/9 HR/9 BB/9 Levels
H Bailey (R) 21 138.66 2.47 1.07 10.13 .45 3.24 A+/AA
J Cueto (R) 21 138.00 3.00 1.00 9.33 .72 2.48 A-/A+
T Wood (L) 20 140.00 3.66 1.17 8.55 .90 3.60 A-
S Lecure (R) 23 141.66 3.43 1.24 7.31 .76 2.92 A+
D Shafer (R) 25 49.66 2.36 1.07 9.42 .36 2.90 AA
C Fisher (R) 24 150.00 2.76 1.14 7.32 .30 2.28 A-
J Coutlangus (L) 26 65.66 2.74 1.14 7.95 .00 4.52 AA/AAA
C Guevara (R) 25 77.33 3.72 1.31 10.36 .70 3.14 AA
C Medlock (R) 24 63.66 2.97 1.29 9.90 .57 3.96 AA
T. Pelland (L) 23 142.00 3.99 1.64 6.78 .70 5.64 AA
B. Salmon (R) 27 81.00 2.44 1.20 10.67 .33 4.78 AA/AAA
C Vazquez (L) 23 143.66 4.13 1.44 8.46 1.00 3.57 A+/AA
P Dumatrait (L) 26 137.66 4.33 1.46 6.75 .92 3.80 AA/AAA
1. Seven other prospects of note didn't have enough innings above Rookie ball for stats to be meaningful to me. But keep an eye on Daryl Thompson, Josh Ravin, Sean Watson, Phil Valiquette, Brandon Rice, Rafael Gonzalez and Jordan Smith.
2. Some bullpen options that may be ready at some point in 2007 include Coutlangus, Salmon, Shafer, Medlock, Guevara and Pelland.
3. Coutlangus and Pelland are thought of as LH who could help in 2007, but both seem to walk a lot of guys. In Pelland's case it hurt him bad. Coutlangus made up for it by giving up few hits and no HR. I would love to know Coutlangus BABIP and how many walks may have been intentional but can't find it. If he keeps walking guys like that, his value will drop. It may be time to move him in a deal. FWIW he had 9 Hit Batsmen in AA adding further evidence of control issues.
4. Shafer looks like a guy the Reds could use in 2007 with increasingly high leverage roles. I suspect he could be another late coming Coffey type. Not sure how hard he throws (I've read 90 or so). With no current favorite in the pen, could he wind up in the closer mix eventually?
5. Cueto looks like a stud in the making to me. Not a big guy at 5-11, 175. His walk rate jumped in A+ but not off the charts. It may be key for him.
6. Wood looks like a guy who may have control issues. He had 10 WP to go with his bordeline walk rate. As more advanced hitters lay-off some of his stuff, his walks could rise. He's a little guy.
7. Carlos Fisher is a sleeper IMO. His worst number is his age. He'll need to keep it up and make it to AA by the end of 2007. Big guy at 6-4, 220.
8. Sam Lecure is another guy who may make it IMO. Younger than Fisher at a level higher. Numbers not as dominant but still pretty good. Played NCAA ball at Texas for 2 years. Not sure if that means he should be more advanced and is picking on less experienced competition or if it just adds to his pedigree.
We have a lot of good minor league talent evaluators and stat evaluators on here. I'm not one of them. Please discuss.